Page 2 of 3 FirstFirst 123 LastLast
Results 16 to 30 of 42
  1. #16
    CRIMINAL Lawyer Sirkickyass's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2010
    Location
    Silicon Valley
    Posts
    5,049
    Rep Power
    30
    Quote Originally Posted by Stoked View Post
    From what I am reading the polls this time around have been based on 2008 turnout and that is not acutally the case. If that is true the Obama has a very real chance of losing this.
    Link? Although I guess we'll know in a few hours anyway.

    In any event, my present understanding is that different polling firms are using different turnout models that make different assumptions. This part of the reason poll averaging is a thing to begin with and part of the reason that different polling firms have persistent house effects that can be measured and corrected for. In any event, if it is the case that polling firms use the last general election turn-out model every new election then we should have enough election data going back to 1968 to understand how that effects projections and correct for it using regression analysis.

    TL;DR: I think this is grasping at straws.

  2. #17
    Moderator Revolution 9's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2010
    Location
    Vilseck, Germany
    Posts
    7,581
    Rep Power
    49
    Quote Originally Posted by Stoked View Post

    Romney loss.
    You'll be crying in the bathroom?
    "Hayward can be a #1?"......"Maybe if he goes down to Fort Wayne...DLeague" -ESPN

  3. #18
    Moderator Stoked's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2011
    Location
    Southern Utah
    Posts
    18,637
    Rep Power
    77
    Quote Originally Posted by Revolution 9 View Post
    You'll be crying in the bathroom?
    Oh please. Will you be out burning tires if Obama loses?

  4. #19
    Senior Member franklin's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2010
    Location
    Drinkin haterade, ridin the hate train through hateville
    Posts
    11,966
    Rep Power
    99
    My dream scenario is for an Obama win causing a serious stock market correction and even lower drop in 30 year rates.

  5.  

     

  6. #20
    Banned
    Join Date
    May 2010
    Posts
    9,571
    Rep Power
    0
    Honestly I think the fallout will be a big meh for the most part. I can see possible demonstrations in a few majority black areas if it's close (it would have to be close for Romney to win) and there's any hint of funny business in the vote counting.

  7. #21
    Senior Member Duck Rodgers's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2010
    Location
    Provo
    Posts
    4,520
    Rep Power
    29
    If Romney loses, all the white horses around the world will be raptured.

    If Obama loses, his army of e-thugs that have taken to twitter in mass the past month or so threatning to kill Romney if he wins won't get breast fed by their upset mothers for the next week and will have hit the streets to find food instead.
    How can he have wisdom whose talk is of bollocks?

  8. #22
    Moderator Revolution 9's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2010
    Location
    Vilseck, Germany
    Posts
    7,581
    Rep Power
    49
    Quote Originally Posted by Stoked View Post
    Oh please. Will you be out burning tires if Obama loses?

    I'll be crying, drunk, and wondering the streets at 7am with a copy of the communist manifesto in back pocket.
    "Hayward can be a #1?"......"Maybe if he goes down to Fort Wayne...DLeague" -ESPN

  9. #23
    Banned
    Join Date
    May 2010
    Location
    Tabor Heights
    Posts
    12,581
    Rep Power
    0
    Quote Originally Posted by franklin View Post
    My dream scenario is for an Obama win causing a serious stock market correction and even lower drop in 30 year rates.
    I almost held off on my re-fi smply because I was very confident that Obama would win and think **** will tank another quarter point or so over the next month or so.

  10. #24
    Senior Member Scat's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2010
    Posts
    5,414
    Rep Power
    36
    Quote Originally Posted by Revolution 9 View Post
    I'll be crying, drunk, and wondering the streets at 7am with a copy of the communist manifesto in back pocket.
    So in other words, nothing will have changed.

  11. #25
    In pursuit of #9 PKM's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2010
    Posts
    43,905
    Rep Power
    150
    I would love to respond but won't because I lack the initiative to follow up to the attacks I'd receive. I'll just say there would be no negative fallout, per se, to either candidate losing .. but a positive effect (even if short-lived) to a Romney win.
    E.J. Wells vs. NAOS

    The confusion...

    ---
    Pre-season mock (7/13/13) - page 111

  12. #26
    Senior Member The Thriller's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2010
    Location
    On the Booz Cruise
    Posts
    8,684
    Rep Power
    40
    I think the fallout for the GOP if they lose this will be the Tea Party/ultraconservative stance. Will pressure finally be brought onto the GOP to move closer to center, compromise, take a less radical stance on illegals, minorities, and women (in particular, abortion and rape)?

    Look in 2016 for a moderate like Huntsman or a Latino (Rubio) to receive a lot of consideration.
    Corbin sucks.

  13. #27
    In pursuit of #9 PKM's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2010
    Posts
    43,905
    Rep Power
    150
    Quote Originally Posted by The Thriller View Post
    I think the fallout for the GOP if they lose this will be the Tea Party/ultraconservative stance. Will pressure finally be brought onto the GOP to move closer to center, compromise, take a less radical stance on illegals, minorities, and women?
    I would more fear the freezing of spending, in this country, by wealthy business owners/entrepreneurs. I'm not kidding. You can call them crazy or un-American, but many/most are scared to death of investing into another 4years of Obama. If you can't see how that hurts, you're blind. I can admit the deficiencies of the GOP, and have done so, I have yet to see any compromise from you.
    E.J. Wells vs. NAOS

    The confusion...

    ---
    Pre-season mock (7/13/13) - page 111

  14. #28
    Senior Member The Thriller's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2010
    Location
    On the Booz Cruise
    Posts
    8,684
    Rep Power
    40
    Quote Originally Posted by PKM View Post
    I would more fear the freezing of spending, in this country, by wealthy business owners/entrepreneurs. I'm not kidding. You can call them crazy or un-American, but many/most are scared to death of investing into another 4years of Obama. If you can't see how that hurts, you're blind. I can admit the deficiencies of the GOP, and have done so, I have yet to see any compromise from you.
    What are you basing this off on?

    Furthermore, what's preventing these companies from getting their asses kicked by companies and business owners who won't be afraid of investing? While these "business owners" you seem familiar with are afraid many others might see opportunity.

    If they're not careful, your scared business owners might end up losing their businesses.

    I just don't buy your post at all. People will invest. They won't refuse opportunities to make money. The economy is already recovering. I've heard/read that we're going to add 12 million new jobs in the next lil while regardless of who is President.
    Corbin sucks.

  15. #29
    In pursuit of #9 PKM's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2010
    Posts
    43,905
    Rep Power
    150
    Quote Originally Posted by The Thriller View Post
    What are you basing this off on?

    Furthermore, what's preventing these companies from getting their asses kicked by companies and business owners who won't be afraid of investing? While these "business owners" you seem familiar with are afraid many others might see opportunity.

    If they're not careful, your scared business owners might end up losing their businesses.

    I just don't buy your post at all. People will invest. They won't refuse opportunities to make money. The economy is already recovering. I've heard/read that we're going to add 12 million new jobs in the next lil while regardless of who is President.
    Maybe you're right and I hope you are, 100%. Maybe my sphere is small .. but ALL of them are petrified of Obama, again.
    Don't take offense of that as an attack .. it's not meant to be, I'm just telling you what the 1%ers are saying.

    Your best point is that maybe they step aside and make room for new money, new ventures .. but all/most businesses soon come to realize they need support/(or lack of) government to ultimately succeed. It's a reality.

    Neither 'side' is perfect .. both have their pros and cons .. but a win by Romney would spur the economy, at least in the short-term .. and perhaps in the long term .. if, in fact, we have great business men and women in this country.
    E.J. Wells vs. NAOS

    The confusion...

    ---
    Pre-season mock (7/13/13) - page 111

  16. #30
    BF Leauge CHAMP nightmare3983's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2012
    Location
    Freakin' In!
    Posts
    10,716
    Rep Power
    36
    The fallout for me will be me bugging Utah's Washington DC contingent to get to work on abolishing the electoral college. Voters in states with more people shouldn't get any more say than any other voter anywhere else in the country.
    Buckle Up Jazz

    Tank Watch Bottom (or is it Top?) 5:

    1. Milwaukee Bucks 15-66 L2
    2. Philadelphia 76ers 18-63 W1
    3. Orlando Magic 23-58 L3
    4. Utah Jazz 24-57 L5
    5. Boston Celtics 25-56 L1

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •