< $8mm per year
$8mm - $8.9mm per year
$9mm - $9.9mm per year
$10mm - $10.9mm per year
$11mm - $11.9mm per year
$12mm - $12.9mm per year
$13mm - $13.9mm per year
$14mm+ per year
My dream is the Jazz trade Hayward along with Millsap/Jefferson for a genuine star (or star package). Sell high. Absolutely no extension this summer unless the Jazz are crazy.
This is Hayward's season (so far):
November: Disaster. Not even MLE quality.
December: Solid, but very uneven (about MLE, little less). See the 9 straight games between PHX and Clips to close the month.
January: Out of this world, but 5 games.
Nothing Hayward has done this season, especially given the last 2, justifies any extension this summer. In another month of games, this could change. But for now, this is silly talk.
I may be naive and/or cheap but with the new CBA I can't see some of the players getting as much as you think. The maximum salary of a player with 6 or fewer years of experience is either $9,000,000 or 25% of the total salary cap (2010–11: $14,511,000), whichever is greater.
So the Max is about 14.5mil, so while Marvin signed his extension under the old salary cap that is about what I think fits for Hayward right around the 8-9mil range. Some players got big contracts this off season only because of how short they were (1-2yr) and so I think you can throw those out as an example unless Gordo or the Jazz want to go that route (hope not). Or you can use similar players in previous years but minus how much the max contracts are now compared to then.
So if a similar player was a 10-11mil player a few years ago then now they will have to be a 8-9mil player to fit in the market, or that seems like a logical understanding to me. Of course like some one else said the middle players are likely to be hurt the most by this as teams will always pay the max guys max money, so they will either have to sign shorter high dollar deals or lesser longer guaranteed money deals.
It'd be nice to get Hayward locked up at around $9 mil before those pull-up jumpers and PnRs look fully deadly. The hot streak has been tantalizing.
I could see the Jazz giving Hayward a flat number for a little more to start, as they have liked doing that in the past. So the same money but 4 year 40 million at 10 per rather then 8.5 9.5 10.5 11.5. I think they should try that with each of the young guys. These next few years we will have more cap room to work with. Dont want to end up trading one later to try to fill the roster with a few more role players.
offer 8/yr and negotiate from there
You almost always have to overpay young players who show signs of promise/potential/improvement. You pay for what you think they will become, not what they currently are. If Hayward can keep up his January production (probably won't, but I think he can remain in the same ballpark) then I don't see why a 10 mill per year type of contract is that bad.
In a few years there will be only five kings in the world -- King Cy and the four kings in a pack of cards.