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  1. #16
    Senior Member JimLes's Avatar
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    PER is nothing more than a good example of confirmation bias. Its actual superiority over a simple +/- number or European style production index has not been established.

  2. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by nightmare3983 View Post
    2/5/13: Jazz record is 27-22. The Hollinger Playoff Odds say the Jazz go 14-19 the rest of the way to finish 41-41.



    "What you little pencil neck? I'll crush your predictions"
    Well done Sophie

  3. #18
    Senior Member LunaticWolf's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by colton View Post
    2/6/13: Expected final record now up at 42-40. Jazz narrowly miss the playoffs, losing the tie-breaker to the Lakers.
    It sorts by chance to make the playoffs.

    Jazz still make in that scenario.
    "Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired, signifies in the final sense a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed." - Dwight D. Eisenhower

  4. #19
    Senior Member orangello's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by franklin View Post



    "What you little pencil neck? I'll crush your predictions"
    I tried to rep you but I must spread some first.
    Cy is a Baker, he doesn't work fast food. Don't make that mistake, he doesn't like it.

  5. #20
    Senior Member LunaticWolf's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nightmare3983 View Post
    I'm curious to see how accurate the Hollinger Playoff Odds will be for Jazz. So I'm going to keep track of how accurately the system predicts the record of the remaining games for the Jazz. There's not really much point to this, but the same could be said of many threads here.

    2/5/13: Jazz record is 27-22. The Hollinger Playoff Odds say the Jazz go 14-19 the rest of the way to finish 41-41.


    http://espn.go.com/nba/hollinger/playoffodds
    If you really want to track it you should put the record every day in an excel sheet, and graph it at the end of the season.
    "Every gun that is made, every warship launched, every rocket fired, signifies in the final sense a theft from those who hunger and are not fed, those who are cold and are not clothed." - Dwight D. Eisenhower

  6. #21
    First BF League CHAMP nightmare3983's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by orangello View Post
    The Jazz own the tie breaker with the Lakers. How do they lose?
    Quote Originally Posted by LunaticWolf View Post
    It sorts by chance to make the playoffs.

    Jazz still make in that scenario.
    If I understand correctly, out of the 5000 simulated seasons, the Lakers ended up making the playoffs more than the Jazz, even though they're both projected to go 42-40. Maybe that means the Jazz had a few more very good seasons than the Lakers but also had more bad ones while the Lakers were more consistent in the simulations.

  7. #22
    Senior Member Jazz4ever's Avatar
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    I'm liking the Tankers only have a 90% chance - and that's assuming Curry and Bogut remain healthy.

  8. #23
    Admininstrator colton's Avatar
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    Jazz now projected to win tiebreaker over Lakers and get the 8th seed
    "Strive not with a man without cause, if he have done thee no harm... The wise shall inherit glory: but shame shall be the promotion of fools." -Prov. 3:30, 35
    :-)

  9. #24
    First BF League CHAMP nightmare3983's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by colton View Post
    Jazz now projected to win tiebreaker over Lakers and get the 8th seed
    Given the injuries piling up in La-La land, it will be impressive if the Lakers can get into the playoffs. But I really hope it doesn't happen.

  10. #25
    Senior Member NUMBERICA's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by LunaticWolf View Post
    It sorts by chance to make the playoffs.

    Jazz still make in that scenario.
    Thrilling. That extra week of games is definitely a better outcome than a vastly improved chance at a key piece (PG).
    "I will say, almost everything. And I didnít bring it every night. But I think most everything was a frustration."

  11. #26
    First BF League CHAMP nightmare3983's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jazz4ever View Post
    I'm liking the Tankers only have a 90% chance - and that's assuming Curry and Bogut remain healthy.
    It's down to 87.4% now.

  12. #27
    First BF League CHAMP nightmare3983's Avatar
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    Bump to keep this from getting too buried.

  13. #28
    Senior Member orangello's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by nightmare3983 View Post
    Bump to keep this from getting too buried.
    And where are the Jazz sitting? I can't imagine losing two games in a row helping the chances of making the playoffs.
    Cy is a Baker, he doesn't work fast food. Don't make that mistake, he doesn't like it.

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  15. #29
    Senior Member orangello's Avatar
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    I would like to add that the Jazz have played more games than Portland and yet are only two games ahead of them.

    If the Jazz don't close out this month strong I see them missing the playoffs. The games that remain for February are:

    H vs OKC
    A vs Minnesota
    H vs GS
    A vs LAC
    H vs Boston
    H vs Atlanta

    That doesn't look promising. I just hope they at least beat GS to help that pick.
    Cy is a Baker, he doesn't work fast food. Don't make that mistake, he doesn't like it.

  16. #30
    Senior Member Weezur's Avatar
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    I just can't see the Jazz winning with Tinsley and Watson. Nobody even has to guard them. It's unheard of. I've never seen a guard in the NBA that you can completely leave wide open and still have that player brick a shot. Never. It's pathetic. I know I'm beating up a dead horse, but I don't think we're getting to the playoffs with dinosaur guards. The Houston game exposed this weakness and I'm very well surprised that we're even close to winning some of these games.

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