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ESPN individual player stat projections

infection

infection

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I haven't seen this posted anywhere, but here's ESPN's individual stat prediction:

https://fantasy.espn.com/basketball/players/projections

I had previously posted a thread for predictions of everyone's stats if anyone wants to make guesses before the season starts. Anyway, here are some notables:

Donovan 26.4 ppg
Conley 16.8 ppg, 7.3 apg
Gobert 16.9 ppg, 12.8 rpg
Bojan 18 ppg

Then there are a few people where their stats are almost identical, almost like they just carried forward the past year, but there are a few slight differences. A couple lesser known guys don't have projections.
 
Bogey averaged 18 a game last year as the number one option for the Pacers most of the season. I think his points are bound to drop a little as our 3rd option, I could see him averaging around 14 or 15 a game. I also don't think Conley's assists will be that high since we have so many ballhandlers and playmakers in the rotation.
 
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infection said:
I haven't seen this posted anywhere, but here's ESPN's individual stat prediction:

https://fantasy.espn.com/basketball/players/projections

I had previously posted a thread for predictions of everyone's stats if anyone wants to make guesses before the season starts. Anyway, here are some notables:

Donovan 26.4 ppg
Conley 16.8 ppg, 7.3 apg
Gobert 16.9 ppg, 12.8 rpg
Bojan 18 ppg

Then there are a few people where their stats are almost identical, almost like they just carried forward the past year, but there are a few slight differences. A couple lesser known guys don't have projections.
Click to expand...

That would be 78 ppg just from those 4 players. We'd just need 30 ppg from everyone else. Joe, Jeff and Royce would provide that. I'm not 100% sure if Bojan will get enough shots to average 18 ppg again this year.

I think Jeff Green could put up 13 ppg.
Bogdanovic might be 16 ppg.
Ingles might be 10-11 ppg.
Royce, Mudiay and Exum would all be in the 8 - 10 ppg range.
 
Yeah. I'm really confused on why they have Bojan so high. I would have said they just carried forward last year's stats but there are some minor differences. I had pegged Bojan at around 16 ppg. I'm surprised they had Donovan so high. I'm having a hard time seeing him score much more than he has. I could be wrong.
 
On day one, the two best shots our offense will be able to generate are (1) a Rudy dunk, and (2) a Bojan corner 3. Right now I’m not flinching at 18 ppg. I think Q should make that happen.
 
Yeah I think just looking at the minutes per game allocations for some of the dudes on our team has me scratching my head. Where does the 20 minutes come from in terms of Ed Davis. I think they have Rudy at 33mpg, therefore Davis should be 15mpg. Where does the extra almost 5 minutes come from?

I really like Ed, but 14 or 15 minutes in the regular season is most we should play him. 10 or so in the playoffs.
 
Dali said:
Yeah I think just looking at the minutes per game allocations for some of the dudes on our team has me scratching my head. Where does the 20 minutes come from in terms of Ed Davis. I think they have Rudy at 33mpg, therefore Davis should be 15mpg. Where does the extra almost 5 minutes come from?
Click to expand...
That's not no MPG works. There are missed games to factor in.
 
Saint Cy of JFC said:
That's not no MPG works. There are missed games to factor in.
Click to expand...

I took that into account, they say Rudy misses 5 games this year, Ed misses 7.

Lets also assume that Ed covers almost all of Rudy's games whilst he's out.

For example, Ed plays 14 minutes per X 70 games, equals 980. 30 minutes X 5 games Rudy misses equals 150, plus 980, equals 1130. Divide that number by 75, you get 15 minutes per game. Not 20.

Also, they say, Bojan, Joe and Green will play 81,82,77 respectively. Not enough games for Davis to average those 20 minutes. It clearly states to me that they think Davis will not only play centre, but get minutes outside of the centre role, which is interesting. Which I also don't agree with. The only way I see it,is f we are blowing opponents out, almost every other game.
 
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Dali said:
Yeah I think just looking at the minutes per game allocations for some of the dudes on our team has me scratching my head. Where does the 20 minutes come from in terms of Ed Davis. I think they have Rudy at 33mpg, therefore Davis should be 15mpg. Where does the extra almost 5 minutes come from?

I really like Ed, but 14 or 15 minutes in the regular season is most we should play him. 10 or so in the playoffs.
Click to expand...

Saint Cy of JFC said:
That's not no MPG works. There are missed games to factor in.
Click to expand...
Between missed games and probably the assumption that he plays a little 4. The missed games thing doesn’t add that much, though. If he usually plays 18 but then gets 30 with a Gobert injury, and if Gobert is out 10 games, it only adds 1.5 MPG over the season.
 
I just find it truly interesting that ESPN thinks that Ed Davis, after backing up Jarett Allen from the Nets, will find 2 extra minutes of play from what he averaged last season, behind a starting centre, who is a two time defending DPOY. Yeah......no. But, everybody makes mistakes sometimes.
 
Dali said:
I took that into account, they say Rudy misses 5 games this year, Ed misses 7.

Lets also assume that Ed covers almost all of Rudy's games whilst he's out.

For example, Ed plays 14 minutes per X 70 games, equals 980. 30 minutes X 5 games Rudy misses equals 150, plus 980, equals 1130. Divide that number by 75, you get 15 minutes per game. Not 20.

Also, they say, Bojan, Joe and Green will play 81,82,77 respectively. Not enough games for Davis to average those 20 minutes. It clearly states to me that they think Davis will not only play centre, but get minutes outside of the centre role, which is interesting. Which I also don't agree with. The only way I see it,is f we are blowing opponents out, almost every other game.
Click to expand...
Plus blowouts where Gobert sits early
 
NAOS said:
On day one, the two best shots our offense will be able to generate are (1) a Rudy dunk, and (2) a Bojan corner 3. Right now I’m not flinching at 18 ppg. I think Q should make that happen.
Click to expand...

Tony Jones is saying the Jazz are running plays they used to run for Gordon Hayward in order to feature Bojan. I could see him get 16 or 17 ppg, with Rudy also in that range. The thing people aren't factoring in is that both Jeff Green and Royce O'Neale could be in double-figures this year as well.
 
Saint Cy of JFC said:
Plus blowouts where Gobert sits early
Click to expand...

Which I mentioned in my last paragraph. But that can also be somewhat offset for close games, where Rudy might play 38 minutes.

In any case, if there are so many blowouts in our favor, then I take issue with the stat where they have Rudy playing almost 34 minutes. That would surely not be the case then. An extra 5 minutes for Ed just seems weird, considering that Jarett Allen averaged 26, Ed 17 last year., which doesn't even add up to 48 minutes at the centre position. In any case, if it is a true blow out. I would want Bradley out there.
 
PPG by players should look like

DM 23
MCJ 20
Gobert 17 (15 rpg)
Boj 16
Ingles 10
Royce 10
 
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