Italy's at 7,503 total deaths and their numbers have been trending down now for about five days. And they've quarantined pretty hardcore.
We're at nearly 1,200 deaths and continuing to trend up, still about 2-3 weeks away from our peak by all accounts. We've sucked so far as quarantining goes. Our numbers are going up at insane rates--30-50% rates daily as it's just started to take hold in more and more states. We will soon be out of hospital beds and ventilators. Healthcare workers will have to choose who to save, who to dismiss. In NYC/north Jersey/Long Island alone, you have about 25-30 million people. If 1/4 of those people get it (the number thrown around is 1 out of 3 and it would be easier to get it here because it's so densely populated), that's 6 million people let's say. If 1% of those die, that's 60,000 people. Let's round that down to 50,000. That's still 50,000 deaths for what amounts to about 7% of the nation's population.
Based on the increases in cases, the increases in deaths shouldn't be too far behind. I'm guessing we'll start to see about 1,000 deaths a day in 12-15 days. However, if we go up at about 20% day over day,
That's not even close to enough to hit the 1.1 million mark. But you get the point. Italy is trending down and should continue to as their quarantine has started to work. We're trending up like crazy and not that far behind them and there's no end in sight with the direction we've had from the ******* in Chief.