Stifle Tower
Punch Bowl Re-Filler
First off, let me state this isn't a Hayward sucks thread.
I hated the pick because I think it means the team takes a step backwards next season. I also think there's a HUGE risk of alienating Deron. But I also want to look at this in terms of 2 years down the road (as Sloan and KOC hinted).
1. We don't know if Boozer will be back or not. I think it's 90% against. But the Jazz didn't permanently shut that door, not yet.
2. Korver may or may not be back. So we went from having too many wings to being too short in the space of a few months. I'm not worried about Matthews. He's restricted. Wesley WILL be back.
3. Jazz have a crisis at the 5. When will Okur return? When/if he does, at what level - 100%, 80%? Is Fes an NBA center or a 15-min backup?
IMO, I think the Jazz HAVE to let Boozer go. Maybe they try to get back a PF backup in the deal, but not for more than $4-$5M. They just can't afford to pay Carlos $15M, not when he gives them no interior defense.
I also think the Jazz need to actively seek a deal for AK's expring at the deadline. You let Boozer and Korver go now, and you have the flexibility of taking back the entire $17M in contracts. Look at what Dallas did at the break (Hayward) or NY giving up a ton of picks for McGrady's expiring.
By contrast, if the Jazz do sign Boozer, then AK has to be dumped. And KOC is then limited to teams that have most of that $17M in available cap space. It will be like trying to dump Harp's contract, but magnified 3x. Utah will likely have to GIVE UP assets.
Can we survive in 2010? Yes. But unless we get a center, it's likely the Jazz MISS the playoffs.
Millsap/AK
(Okur)/Fes/Koufos
Deron/Price
CJ/AK/Hayward
Matthews/CJ
1. In two years, the 2-3 is set: Matthews, CJ and Hayward will be a good rotation: 96 minutes/divided by 3 players. Korver isn't needed.
2. AK's expiring should net a couple of decent players. Or one starter and a mid-round pick. You have to hope one of those guys will be a 4/5.
3. Okur, even IF he doesn't return 100%, will have value as an expiring contract 1 1/2 years from now.
Memphis is good, but not great. If the JAzz MISS the playoffs, we'd have a lottery pick and Memphis could very well be the team that makes it into that 8th spot. That would give us a pick in the 15-18 range.
I'm disappointed looking at might what transpire THIS season. But the future isn't dark.
ONE step back now, but we can take TWO steps forward at the trade deadline and in the next draft.
I hated the pick because I think it means the team takes a step backwards next season. I also think there's a HUGE risk of alienating Deron. But I also want to look at this in terms of 2 years down the road (as Sloan and KOC hinted).
1. We don't know if Boozer will be back or not. I think it's 90% against. But the Jazz didn't permanently shut that door, not yet.
2. Korver may or may not be back. So we went from having too many wings to being too short in the space of a few months. I'm not worried about Matthews. He's restricted. Wesley WILL be back.
3. Jazz have a crisis at the 5. When will Okur return? When/if he does, at what level - 100%, 80%? Is Fes an NBA center or a 15-min backup?
IMO, I think the Jazz HAVE to let Boozer go. Maybe they try to get back a PF backup in the deal, but not for more than $4-$5M. They just can't afford to pay Carlos $15M, not when he gives them no interior defense.
I also think the Jazz need to actively seek a deal for AK's expring at the deadline. You let Boozer and Korver go now, and you have the flexibility of taking back the entire $17M in contracts. Look at what Dallas did at the break (Hayward) or NY giving up a ton of picks for McGrady's expiring.
By contrast, if the Jazz do sign Boozer, then AK has to be dumped. And KOC is then limited to teams that have most of that $17M in available cap space. It will be like trying to dump Harp's contract, but magnified 3x. Utah will likely have to GIVE UP assets.
Can we survive in 2010? Yes. But unless we get a center, it's likely the Jazz MISS the playoffs.
Millsap/AK
(Okur)/Fes/Koufos
Deron/Price
CJ/AK/Hayward
Matthews/CJ
1. In two years, the 2-3 is set: Matthews, CJ and Hayward will be a good rotation: 96 minutes/divided by 3 players. Korver isn't needed.
2. AK's expiring should net a couple of decent players. Or one starter and a mid-round pick. You have to hope one of those guys will be a 4/5.
3. Okur, even IF he doesn't return 100%, will have value as an expiring contract 1 1/2 years from now.
Memphis is good, but not great. If the JAzz MISS the playoffs, we'd have a lottery pick and Memphis could very well be the team that makes it into that 8th spot. That would give us a pick in the 15-18 range.
I'm disappointed looking at might what transpire THIS season. But the future isn't dark.
ONE step back now, but we can take TWO steps forward at the trade deadline and in the next draft.