Just messing around again with a set of stats (this time from nbashotcharts.com). I found the results interesting (and supportive of the idea that the Jazz identity may still be heavily defense-oriented).
This is a projection for 2019-20’s teams utilizing 2018-19’s regularized-adjusted plus minus data (per 100 possessions). This stat has some problems, as you’ll probably recognize, but like many other stats, the more data that goes into it, the better it is likely to function. It’s generally recognized as one of the better stats within the general plus-minus category. Take it for what it’s worth, which is likely only just a small amount. Plus minus stats can vary considerably year to year and depend more strongly than most stats on team role/situation.
Feel free to ask why the results differ from what you might have expected (or go into the site yourself to figure it out), or which players I included in the calculations.
Points above average for Top 10 players (per 100 possessions; based on ratio of 30 minutes/game for the 5 players I project to play the most minutes, and 18 minutes/game for the next 5)
8.9 Jazz
7.1 Nuggets
6.8 Rockets
6.3 Clippers
4.5 Pelicans
4.5 Spurs
4.4 Lakers
4.1 Warriors
2.5 Mavs
2.5 Blazers
2.4 Wolves
2.1 Thunder
0.9 Kings
Points above average for top 5 players (still based on 100 possessions)
12.0 Jazz
11.5 Clippers
11.1 Warriors
10.9 Lakers
9.3 Rockets
9.0 Nuggets
8.3 Spurs
7.4 Pelicans
7.3 Thunder
5.0 Blazers
4.8 Wolves
2.9 Mavs
2.3 Kings
Some notes: no rookies (ie Zion) or players who missed all of last year (Porzingis, Roberson, D. Murray) included. Top 5 players who are expected to miss significant portions of the coming season (Klay, Nurkic) were regarded as reserves in the calculations. I didn’t bother to calculate Memphis or Phoenix since both figure to be completely out of the playoff picture.
This is a projection for 2019-20’s teams utilizing 2018-19’s regularized-adjusted plus minus data (per 100 possessions). This stat has some problems, as you’ll probably recognize, but like many other stats, the more data that goes into it, the better it is likely to function. It’s generally recognized as one of the better stats within the general plus-minus category. Take it for what it’s worth, which is likely only just a small amount. Plus minus stats can vary considerably year to year and depend more strongly than most stats on team role/situation.
Feel free to ask why the results differ from what you might have expected (or go into the site yourself to figure it out), or which players I included in the calculations.
Points above average for Top 10 players (per 100 possessions; based on ratio of 30 minutes/game for the 5 players I project to play the most minutes, and 18 minutes/game for the next 5)
8.9 Jazz
7.1 Nuggets
6.8 Rockets
6.3 Clippers
4.5 Pelicans
4.5 Spurs
4.4 Lakers
4.1 Warriors
2.5 Mavs
2.5 Blazers
2.4 Wolves
2.1 Thunder
0.9 Kings
Points above average for top 5 players (still based on 100 possessions)
12.0 Jazz
11.5 Clippers
11.1 Warriors
10.9 Lakers
9.3 Rockets
9.0 Nuggets
8.3 Spurs
7.4 Pelicans
7.3 Thunder
5.0 Blazers
4.8 Wolves
2.9 Mavs
2.3 Kings
Some notes: no rookies (ie Zion) or players who missed all of last year (Porzingis, Roberson, D. Murray) included. Top 5 players who are expected to miss significant portions of the coming season (Klay, Nurkic) were regarded as reserves in the calculations. I didn’t bother to calculate Memphis or Phoenix since both figure to be completely out of the playoff picture.
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