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Salary cap jump for next year

vegas

Well-Known Member
The cap will increase. The question is how much.
I found this story this morning: https://www.sbnation.com/2015/2/13/8037221/nba-salary-cap-smoothing-2016-free-agency-lebron-james-kevin-durant

Per the article, the players have rejected a smoothing proposal meaning that instead of allowing the cap to explode from 63 mill to 90+ mill, they would do it gradually to be more fair to players that are not free agents. If smoothing occurs, they are guaranteed the same 49-51%, but the extra is split among the players.

This is probably why they haven't batted an eye paying Burks, Hayward and to a lesser extent Favors, since by their contracts will all be awesome if the cap goes up that quickly. Even Kanter at ~12 would be a tradeable contract and wouldn't hamper our flexibility. It sheds a different light on the trade discussions.

It would also make trading for other decent players currently under long term contracts a valued commodity.

There will still be more negotiations in this regard per Adam Silver, but ultimately the terms of the current CBA reflect the above amount. Unless Silver can convince the players to approve smoothing, it will indeed skyrocket next season.

PS free agents in 2016 include LeBron James, Kevin Durant, Kevin Love, Dwyane Wade and Anthony Davis.

Do you think they will increase the cap dramatically?
What are the repercussions for the Jazz?
What moves should the Jazz make knowing the cap will be going up significantly over the next several seasons?
 
The repercussions for the Jazz is that it will be harder to sign FA in 2016 since every team will have cap room.
 
The biggest issue is that in two years, even teams in the Luxury Tax will have cap space. Utah is not a selling point for free agents. Having Bird rights becomes critical here for the next 2-3 years. Some teams are going to try to pull a Miami Heat and sign 2-3 max guys when this happens. Being able to significantly pay more to Favors, Hayward, Gobert and Exum is going to be the difference between being a have or have not team. The key is going to be getting the right pieces to support them so that Itah can get back to the playoffs and be a contender.
 
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This also means it's ok for teams to give players like Wes Matthews max dollars. Because in one year, that max deal becomes a role player deal. Also, a team could trade for Kanter, sign to an extension, pay tax for one year then drop below the tax line the next. For example, GS can max out Green this summer, pay tax for one year, cap jumps, Green is now underpaid.

That's why Hayward at 14 and Burks at 10 isn't a big deal.
 
It also means if Utah can trade Kanter, they will be 25 million under the cap. So they could give Wes Matthews a max deal, then have the cap jump and be ok. Look at this team:

PG: Exum
SG: Matthews
SF: Hayward
PF: Favors
C: Gobert

That's a damn fine team. Toss in Burks, another top 10 pick, Burke and Hood...If Exum becomes an All Star, that's a title contending team. Whew.

This year is our time to strike, but Kanter is the key.
 
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