FiveThirtyEight blog -- Utah Jazz *Carmelo player projections
- Thread starter franklin
- Start date
zyzz
Well-Known Member
Joe Ingles is a "scrub" on the projections lolol. Guess it makes sense since he didn't start shooting until the last 20 games or so.
Here's a link to the thing
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/carmelo/
Here's a link to the thing
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/carmelo/
Wow! Look how good Trey Burke's usage rate is! Wow, if there's one thing I'd call his usage rate, it's definitely extremely very good.
...
Usage rate being "good" or "bad" is 100% contingent on how a player uses their possessions. The rest is really cool, but that's really dumb.
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Usage rate being "good" or "bad" is 100% contingent on how a player uses their possessions. The rest is really cool, but that's really dumb.
Nah, this **** sucks, I'm sorry.
Do they really project Gobert to have peaked last year? What? According to these projections our "Big 3" all peaked last year and will never be as good, or do I understand "wins above replacement" wrong?
Do they really project Gobert to have peaked last year? What? According to these projections our "Big 3" all peaked last year and will never be as good, or do I understand "wins above replacement" wrong?
Actually, yeah, that too. Is "'15" last season and "'16" this season?
I just dont like 538. I like stats, but they are too much for me.
I get that, most thing use the year the season ends.
Sports games are always called by the end year. Like this year "NBA 2k16" came out.
Right... the graphs just really don't make any sense considering that, though.
And why is Hood considered a rotation player when Burks is an average starter when the WARP is higher for Hood?
Right. It's the first sign that Nate Silver is infallible.
It's still off season and it's till Nate Silver. That said, the rest of the projections should be worthy of consideration, early peaks on all players considered (not just Gobert as you pointed out).
It seems like they are saying all our players basically played to the peak of their confidence intervals this past year and that probably won't happen again.