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O/U set at 40.5 by Vegas

Under.

I hate to say it, but the Jazz are going into the season relying on Rodney Hood to score a bunch of points. Rodney hasn't shown he can stay healthy, and when he is healthy he is streaky. Maybe I will be wrong, maybe Hood responds to the challenge, and being the guy- I hope.
 
I dunno about the scoring worries. Didn't a team of AK and 14 scrubs win 40 games once? And this Jazz team isn't built with scrubs, it's very solid from 1 to 10 (at least).
 
As optimistic as I am about the season, I'd probably take the under. Just too many unknowns at the moment. Yes, they will be a beast on defense, but unless every game is in the 70 or maybe even 80s, Jazz are going to have a tough time. Yes, the point total is a bit of an exaggeration, but that's just to get my point across.
 
We lost Gordon and Hill but if Ricky plays more games than Hill isn't that kind of a wash. Add in improved health and internal improvement from Hood, Exum, Rudy. DM looks like he can contribute and we added some depth pieces. I think the offense will be fine in the regular season.

Outside of Rudy missing half the games this year I think we clear 40.5 easy. Any time you bet the over you are betting on the key player being healthy right? If KD is not healthy GS doesn't go over.

I don't see us as much worse than last year.
 
Wes Mantooth said:
And I'm not saying we may not win 42-46 games but 55 games and ****. Jesus, get a ****ing grip. We're in the West and Deron and Company never even won that many games iirc.
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Last year's team was better than any Deron led Utah team. The biggest variable here is health. Last year's team was significantly better than their record showed, due to a high number of injuries. That team is a 55 win team easy IMO and maybe closer to 60. We replaced Hill, who missed a ton of games and wasn't 100% even when he did play most of the 2nd half of the season, with Rubio. We lost Haywood, but if we have good health from Hood and moreso Favors, we can make up a lot there as well. JJ can replace some of what Haywood gave us and was ALWAYS a more reliable option in crunch time anyway, IMO.

I think some people have gotten so use to the injuries that they just assume it will continue to be the same old story. If Utah can stay mostly healthy, I predict 48-52 wins. Favors staying healthy could be huge. He has been playing in Haywood's shadow for the last 3 years, and is playing for his next contract. That dude could surprise a lot of people this year if things go right.
 
This is a really hard year to predict for the Jazz. I don't expect Vegas will be 1.5+/- off. It's just a hard year for an over-under. I could see a scenario where we struggle to score, Rudy tries to do too much, injury bug happens again, and we can't close out games. Refs don't respect teams without stars and I could see us on the wrong end a zillions of calls again like 2 years ago. I could see us winning 34 - 36 games in the tough west in that scenario. I could also see a scenario where we hold teams under 92 ppg and Rubio makes our offense look like a machine and we finally get a healthy Burks, Favors, and a ROY candidate. Quin and one of the wings looks like a superhero by replacing Hayward's stats and Gordon was overrated in our system. I could see us winning 46 games in that scenario.

I have been within 1 game the last two years, but this year I have no idea. It's not the year to be betting.
 
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Saw this on twitter
 
Here is Over/under for every team.

Eastern Conference

Atlantic
Boston Celtics 56.5
Toronto Raptors 48.5
Philadelphia 76ers 42.5
New York Knicks 30.5
Brooklyn Nets 28.5

Central
Cleveland Cavaliers 53.5
Milwaukee Bucks 47.5
Detroit Pistons 38.5
Indiana Pacers 31.5
Chicago Bulls 21.5

Southeast
Washington Wizards 47.5
Miami Heat 43.5
Charlotte Hornets 42.5
Orlando Magic 33.5
Atlanta Hawks 25.5



Western Conference

Northwest
Oklahoma City Thunder 51.5
Minnesota Timberwolves 48.5
Denver Nuggets 45.5
Portland Trail Blazers 42.5
Utah Jazz 40.5

Pacific
Golden State Warriors 67.5
Los Angeles Clippers 43.5
Los Angeles Lakers 33.5
Sacramento Kings 28.5
Phoenix Suns 28.5

Southwest
Houston Rockets 55.5
San Antonio Spurs 54.5
New Orleans Pelicans 39.5
Memphis Grizzlies 37.5
Dallas Mavericks 35.5
 
Boston's line is ludicrous! Wish I had some spare money to bet the under.
 
If you forced me to place my money on three teams, I'd pick...

Houston over
Dallas Under
Sacramento over
 
My most confident bets would be:

** Boston - under
** Jazz - over
** Minnesota - under
** Dallas - under

I like Minnesota, but adding Butler and replacing Rubio with Teague doesn't add up to a colossal leap of +17 games. I could see them pick up 12 or 13 wins though. Their ball movement and outside shooting are a bit suspect to me.
 
stitches said:
Boston's line is ludicrous! Wish I had some spare money to bet the under.
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Losing Bradley and Crowder hurts their depth and defense. Morris doesn't help their interior defense or rebounding. Kyrie is great, but he'll have to play his *** off to match what IT did last season. They'll need time to gel as a group. And if IT goes back to Boston and misses half the season the Celtics will do well to win 45 games.
 
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