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Following Potential 2018 Draftees

I tried really hard to like Brown but he is my “meh” pick of the 2018 draft.

I think he’ll be one of those guys in 8 years where you look back and forgot all about him and he isn’t in the league anymore.
 
At 30 there won't be much left. You would really be throwing darts, heck at 21 we'll be throwing a dart but at least have one eye open.
For me, 30 is at the very end of where a couple of good prospects *may* be available. 38 there is basically nothing that isnt a dart toss.
 
At 30 there won't be much left. You would really be throwing darts, heck at 21 we'll be throwing a dart but at least have one eye open.

Actually you’d be throwing two darts instead of one...
 
Not worried about some of his measurements?

26.0 vert. Worst was 25.0.

Max vert of 33 inches. Worst was 31.0.


3/4 sprint of 3.33 seconds. Worst was 3.40.

And so forth.

He definitely has below average athleticism. It stands out. That would be a red flag to me.

Not to mention he was 29.1% from three point range and only 74.1% from the FT line which doesn't give great confidence in his ability to improve as an outside shooter. His TS%, eFG% an FG% were all bad too. So was his ast/to ratio 3.2/2.5. And his PER/WS/ box +-numbers too. I just don't see it with Brown at all. He's one of the few guys who could be there at 21 that I hope we avoid.
 
Not worried about some of his measurements?

26.0 vert. Worst was 25.0.

Max vert of 33 inches. Worst was 31.0.


3/4 sprint of 3.33 seconds. Worst was 3.40.

And so forth.

He definitely has below average athleticism. It stands out. That would be a red flag to me.

Looking at players with comparable athletic numbers at the Combine, I come up with guys like Devin Booker, Aaron Harrison, Sam Dekker. Yeah, he has middling athleticism, but he can work on it.

His 3-pt shooting will improve. Hayward shot 29% as a soph, so did Jaylen Brown. He just needs reps. Again, he's not a guy who shot a lot from deep in HS.

Edit: More athletic comparables --Al-Foruq Aminu and Evan Turner.

Hayward's max vert was 34.5" with a 3-inch shorter wingspan.
 
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Looking at players with comparable athletic numbers at the Combine, I come up with guys like Devin Booker, Aaron Harrison, Sam Dekker. Yeah, he has middling athleticism, but he can work on it.

Those guys had FAR more impressive college resumes.

And two of them are now mediocre NBA players.
 
For me, 30 is at the very end of where a couple of good prospects *may* be available. 38 there is basically nothing that isnt a dart toss.

And that's why you're wrong. There are players scattered everywhere from mid-teens to mid-30's in mock drafts because nobody really knows anything right now. There are players on here being talked about who will be at 30 and 34 and 38, etc.. Remember last year when tons of people were talking about Jordan Bell? Well, there will be that guy this year too. there will be more than one. Happens every year but even more on years like this so deep with talent.

But I forgot. Everybody look, Cy knows everything.
 
Actually you’d be throwing two darts instead of one...

Thank you HH. I appreciate the perspective.

The only reason DL trades down is if he's not sold on anyone at #21 or he can't use #21 to trade up. I made the assumption that everybody knew that because it's common freaking knowledge. We only trade down if we like three-five guys who are going to fall into the late 20's to early 30's and we don't absolutely love somebody at #21. Duh.
 
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