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Trade to 5 for Jarace?

The hope with Jarace imo is he’s Draymond with a jumper… I have a few questions there like is his defense going to be on that level… is his passing going to be as good in a non-Steph environment and will he shoot it (everyone assumes the jumper will come… it could but it’s a 50/50 proposition).

If he doesn’t shoot it then he’s similar to Okongwu imo… at 9 that’s fine… but if you burn a bunch of assets to get there… that sucks.
 
I think Detroit would obviously ask for Ochai… way before Sexton. I was told he’s a great defender and he definitely shoots it well. They need a 3 and D wing way more than another lightening fast combo guard.
 
It would be interesting to know in the history of trading up - say 5 spots or fewer, how often it has worked (and by worked, I mean how often has the guy they traded up for been better than a guy they could have had if they would have stayed put)?

I just think with the draft being such a crapshoot, it doesn't make much sense to give up assets to go get a guy when you have no clue whether that guy will be better than the guy you might take if you stand pat. is jarace walker going to be better than Cam? Better than Ausar? Better than Black? Better than Hendricks? Better than Bilal? I'm pretty much anti-Bilal at 9 (i think it's too early), but i'd rather take him at 9, than give up assets to move up to take a guy who i have no clue if he will be better than Bilal.

maybe. also, maybe not. i just think it makes too much sense to stay where you're at, don't give up assets and roll the dice. hell, you're rolling the dice regardless.

we know the jazz have been burned by trading up in the past - they traded 14 and 21 to take Trey Burke at 9 - yet at 14, they could have taken Giannis, Schroder, Mason Plumlee, Hardaway Jr, Reggie Bullock, Rudy, etc - all who have been better nba players than Burke.
 
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It would be interesting to know in the history of trading up - say 5 spots or fewer, how often it has worked (and by worked, I mean how often has the guy they traded up for been better than a guy they could have had if they would have stayed put)?

I just think with the draft being such a crapshoot, it doesn't make much sense to give up assets to go get a guy when you have no clue whether that guy will be better than the guy you might take if you stand pat. is jarace walker going to be better than Cam? Better than Ausar? Better than Black? Better than Hendricks?

maybe. also, maybe not. i just think it makes too much sense to stay where you're at, don't give up assets and roll the dice. hell, you're rolling the dice regardless.

we know the jazz have been burned by trading up in the past - they traded 14 and 21 to take Trey Burke at 9 - yet at 14, they could have taken Giannis, Schroder, Mason Plumlee, Hardaway Jr, Reggie Bullock, Rudy, etc - all who have been better nba players than Burke.
There have been a handful… Luka obviously… Jarrett Culver was another. It varies wildly. The cost is usually one good pick… so would you do #9 and 2025 Cavs pick? Maybe? It requires a willing seller… there are teams that make bigger offers that are rejected.

If they’d take 9 and Ochai I’d do that… if it’s 9 and an unprotected future pick I will pass… if the target is Walker anyway, but that is a reasonable, fair offer that is in line with historic comps.

So if we move up to 5 I will say it is Ochai/28/9 for 5 or 9 and a future pick for 5.
 
Pistons don’t need a player like Sexton… they’d likely have some interest in Ochai… my guess is the cost to move up to 5 is at least one good pick plus 9. If it’s less than that then go for it. If it’s more I pass. I don’t love the target here… if that is the target just wait until 9 and take BPA. I don’t hate Walker but I just don’t see him worth the cost of moving up.
I am not caught up yet this morning, but I expect an "Ochai's #1 hater" comment coming soon.
 
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