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    If the NBA Draft Lottery is rigged, where will we land?

    For Charlotte..... Made the playoffs twice in that 15 year period. Draft odds were .17% 25% 19.9% .17% .8% .8% 1% 6% 1.8% 1% 12.5% 13.3% 14% in that period That factors out to be.. about a 35% chance they didn't win in that time period. Certainly not lucky but not horrible odds it happened...
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    If the NBA Draft Lottery is rigged, where will we land?

    While I think conspiracy theories about the draft are silly (the Ewing draft maybe being the only one I'd consider might have been rigged), I will admit sometimes its kind of fun to indulge in what if speculation, same as its fun to engage in superstitions, as long as you don't buy into it super...
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    Solving For Tanking, We're smart, let's figure it out

    Wasn't actively posting at this point so I'll admit I just brushed past it in catching up with the thread. It does mostly achieve your stated objectives of keeping the average good pick going to the worst teams, but rewarding the best teams with the best chance at the top 5, which would...
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    Keep, Trade, or cut? (Re-sign if you will)

    Kinda tough exercise before we know the lotto results. In a way its nice because with all the draft picks and young players we have a lot of options open. What you do with these guys depends on what direction you want to go. For this off season I'm assuming that 1) We expect to get a guy in...
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    Solving For Tanking, We're smart, let's figure it out

    Ah that is a good point I didn't consider. Trading cap space would be hard, just because draft pick trades are usually really future things and it would be kind of hard to guarantee that you would still have it available. You could still do 2nd round trades, and draft day trades for players...
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    Solving For Tanking, We're smart, let's figure it out

    It is an interesting suggestion. My gut feel would just be that its a little too complicated to not have exploitable edge cases that will result in unintended consequences, but those may be able to be ironed out with small rule changes. The biggest problem might be that it sounds to me like...
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    Solving For Tanking, We're smart, let's figure it out

    Leaning in to the tanking concept instead of trying but failing to disincentivize it means the tanking teams get what they want faster and stop tanking sooner. So teams tank for less time, and fewer teams are doing it at the same time. All flattening the odds does is make it take more time to...
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    The FINAL COUNTDOWN - 50 Days to go

    All 30 Team Owners are going to agree to a system that intentionally ensures that their team will never receive an expected superstar through the draft? I'm not ever going to believe in a conspiracy theory that says the owners are in on it. In addition to them you also have to rig the lottery...
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    Solving For Tanking, We're smart, let's figure it out

    This is why I don't trust AI with anything right now. (side story, I once saw a commercial I thought was kind of funny that talked about great shows having one-word titles and included "ER" in the mix. I tried to search for the commercial, and the AI overview came back saying something along...
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    The FINAL COUNTDOWN - 50 Days to go

    Eh, I'll admit that I'm not digging too much deeper into this than just a google search on the number of TVs that are usually tuned in to their games. I still think all those things you say about SA having deep roots and an international fanbase happened because they got lucky and drafted...
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    Solving For Tanking, We're smart, let's figure it out

    Been a few pretty good ideas discussed in here recently I think. Removing lottery protections on the non-lottery winning picks would help some, at least with the jockeying that gets done at the higher picks, though I don't think that part is the worst part of tanking. It would have the side...
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    The FINAL COUNTDOWN - 50 Days to go

    It always kind of surprises me when people use SA as an example of a market that makes the NBA a lot of money if they've got good players. They're like one of the smallest markets in the NBA aren't they? The Spurs dominant years (along with the Knicks decades of suckitude) are one of the...
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    Exit Interviews

    I mean, I understood that what they were doing was necessary and the right thing for the future. It just wasn't any fun at all to watch. I don't feel like I'm watching the future because I think its really low odds for any given individual on the team that they are still on the team when we...
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    Do you want the Jazz to win their last game against the Wolves?

    You know what I originally voted to lose because I want to keep our floor on our pick as high as possible. But I feel like there’s 4 guys in the draft and a minny pick would increase our odds of getting one of those guys by 3.6% and that’s enough for me. Yeah let’s win it.
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    Hendricks and Filipowski

    Eh, fits something you look for when you are good. Jazz aren't building a team they're just existing until they fill out a couple all star potential players in rookie spots or have some amazing deal thrown in their laps. When that happens and they switch back to win mode, there will be a lot...
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    Trades for/out of #1

    Perhaps misspoke and should have said “has a good chance”. Which yeah is probably something like 15%. Lot of things can happen. Think that’s about 5x better of a chance than the #2 pick. Rookie contract is 4 years, then in the last year you can give them a 5 year extension nobody else can...
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    Trades for/out of #1

    Oh I agree that would be a pretty great team and we have the assets to eventually make that a championship calibur team. We'd need to trade some of our assets to bring in another piece or two to really get there though, and that deal might not be immediately available. SGA's contract, and us...
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    Trades for/out of #1

    Yeah, Giannis is two years left on his deal and a player option. Jazz can't make that kind of deal unless they also somehow manage to wrangle enough other deals to make themselves an instant right now championship contender. I guess (again this is answering the hypothetical "What would it...
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    Trades for/out of #1

    Depends a lot on who wins the lottery. From the Jazz perspective, if you're offered SGA, the 2nd, and a future first, yeah you say no. Because SGA only has 2 years left on his deal, and that's probably not enough time to build up enough of the rest of the roster to contend. You'll be better...
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    Solving For Tanking, We're smart, let's figure it out

    Yeah, if they were going to do a really big significant draft change, it would probably need to come alongside some other kind of balancing measure. Hard salary cap will probably always be a non-starter with the players union though. Doesn't really do enough on its own anyway. You need to...
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