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Rank Our Future Draft Picks

Bawse Dawg said:
A bird in hand is worth two in a bush 6 years from now. You say the uncertainty is what makes is valuable but you are ranking it like it’s a certainty that it will be a great pick when it could very well be mediocre or worse.

A lottery pick in the next draft which we know is a great one is way more valuable than you want to admit because you have dreams of the Jazz being great and still getting top 5 picks half a decade from now. Which is a great dream, but you don’t plan around expecting that to happen.

Here’s a thought experiment: We offer the 2029 Cavs pick straight up to every single team in the lottery this year that is ahead of our 23’ Wolves pick. I say nobody takes it, no way. You disagree?
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That is a good question but teams that are bad now want picks now to try and improve not a pick in 2029.
 
Elizah Huge said:
That is a good question but teams that are bad now want picks now to try and improve not a pick in 2029.
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Such as the Jazz.

Teams who are good also want to improve now, no? So who’s left? I think all teams are more interested in improving now rather than years from now. If Hinkie was still around he’d probably take the call I guess.
 
Bawse Dawg said:
Such as the Jazz.

Teams who are good also want to improve now, no? So who’s left? I think all teams are more interested in improving now rather than years from now. If Hinkie was still around he’d probably take the call I guess.
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Here’s the thing though. The Minnesota pick is currently 14th. You are comparing apples to oranges. Do I think the 2029 Cleveland 1st is worth more than the 14th pick in this draft? Yes, I do.

Is that pick worth more than picks 1-7? Of course not.
 
Bawse Dawg said:
A bird in hand is worth two in a bush 6 years from now. You say the uncertainty is what makes is valuable but you are ranking it like it’s a certainty that it will be a great pick when it could very well be mediocre or worse.

A lottery pick in the next draft which we know is a great one is way more valuable than you want to admit because you have dreams of the Jazz being great and still getting top 5 picks half a decade from now. Which is a great dream, but you don’t plan around expecting that to happen.

Here’s a thought experiment: We offer the 2029 Cavs pick straight up to every single team in the lottery this year that is ahead of our 23’ Wolves pick. I say nobody takes it, no way. You disagree?
Click to expand...
None of these picks that are unknowns, are ever worth that much as is, despite the unknown meaning it "could be better" I think it is fairly simple that until something changes with the teams that the pick range is determined by, like the Cavs in 3 years are either a playoff contending beast, whos picks are garbage for us, in the late 20's. Or they blew it up, Don left and the pick might be lottery for a couple seasons until they get a replacement in free agency. So yeah this years Wolves might be worth more than any of them, turn out to be worth down the road, but that aint saying much.Not since we just gave them an upgrade at the point, and ensured sans him getting hurt, or KAT never playing again this season, that this years won't be that good either.
Imo all these picks are only valuable as add on chips to player trades to upgrade players not to use in the drafts down much at all for a GM with the mindset of Danny Ainge.
I said in my earlier post on here, I doubt we use more than 2 of those future picks on players in drafts and that most picks are flipped. I do think those pick swaps will be advantages for us if the Cavs do somehow end up worse than we are in a couple years and that's pretty much it.
 
Elizah Huge said:
Here’s the thing though. The Minnesota pick is currently 14th. You are comparing apples to oranges. Do I think the 2029 Cleveland 1st is worth more than the 14th pick in this draft? Yes, I do.

Is that pick worth more than picks 1-7? Of course not.
Click to expand...
so are you lol
ranking these picks is fairly useless RIGHT NOW. If you asked me on draft night which has more value to me as a GM the pick in my hand at 14 or the future Cavs pick in 2029 I am taking the 14th
 
1. MIN 2025
Whether we want to draft with it or sell it... It seems west is going to be just better with OKC and Sacramento and us with good future cores. And most other teams in better situations than T Wolves. That 2025 1st is gonna be golden and get us a star drafting with it or trading with that in a package.

2. MIN 2023
We need to hit on this draft and be it getting higher with trading this pick or use it - we need it a lot

3. MIN 2027
The team is still gonna be meh at most. It is T-wolves after all...

4. CLE 2025/MIN 2029
Lot of teams are out of picks right now and might need them sooner than later and also we might have a good use for it ourselves. Minnesota although is gonna be meh at most 4ever... So can't decide on this one.

6. PHI/BKN lesser of 1st 2023
We are going to be good in 2-3 seasons. This is so valuable to us whether we trade it to someone or improve our draft position with it or use it.

7. I can not decide between protected LAL 2027 and CLE 2027 and CLE 2029. All of them might be meh or might be real good.
 
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