ESPN Bet Sets Jazz O/U at 28.5

[Miggs]

Nah, I like Harper. What he lacks in athleticism (he's fine in my opinion) he makes up for in being a dawg.

How’s his brother doing? They’re the same guy. Look all slovenly and roley-poley.

 

[Saint Cy of JFC]

If you don't think Vegas and the betting public is considering Lauri trade rumors into their O /Us you are a moron

 

[The Midnight]

Under all day, all sighs point to a tankastic year this year.

 

[Shad]

Please be a lot under

 

[fishonjazz]

If you don't think Vegas and the betting public is considering Lauri trade rumors into their O /Us you are a moron

In that case then everyone should take the over. Lauri isn't getting traded.
(I think the number is based on the current roster though, not a hypothetical and unlikely and unknown roster)

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[HermanG]

That is not baked in at all. This number is based on the current roster. Take that under all day if we go into the season with our current roster.

Vegas accounts for anything no matter how speculative it is, if they think it affects standard fans betting behaviour.

Its also not based on simulation of results, its just expectation of how the action distributes. The line is set at the median.

So at the moment they think half the bets would go for 29 or more and half would go for 28 or less.

 

[Ron Mexico]

I'll take the over. I'm betting Lauri stays.

 

[sip]

I'm tellng you it's baked it. That's how it works....

No it's not. That line is based on our current roster and it is quite generous.

 

[sip]

Vegas accounts for anything no matter how speculative it is, if they think it affects standard fans betting behaviour.

Its also not based on simulation of results, its just expectation of how the action distributes. The line is set at the median.

So at the moment they think half the bets would go for 29 or more and half would go for 28 or less.

I know that but it's based on the current roster. They are trying to get equal pay on both sides of the line. Cy is saying that they are hedging the wins lower because of a possible Lauri trade and if not it would be higher and that is definitely not the case.

 

[Handlogten's Heros]

I think another betting site has 27.5. Take the under all day. Free money.

 

[Handlogten's Heros]

In general I’d probably be partial to taking the under in most bets. Only takes one or two somewhat bad things to underperform. There’s like a 10% chance we trade Lauri baked in there but if we trade Lauri the under is a lock. Sexton Kessler get traded or hurt and you are gold. I think DA finally figures this out and we win around 23-26 games.

 

[Saint Cy of JFC]

Vegas accounts for anything no matter how speculative it is, if they think it affects standard fans betting behaviour.

Its also not based on simulation of results, its just expectation of how the action distributes. The line is set at the median.

So at the moment they think half the bets would go for 29 or more and half would go for 28 or less.

Yup, and it's why the Lakers usually have a somewhat inflated line. There are a ton of Lakers homers who will drive up the line.