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Following Potential 2025 Draftees

You’re high if you think Atlanta is making the playoffs.

The Spurs will have a combined ~10% chance at #1. Book it.
I mean they will certainly make the play in. Only have to win 2 games from there against other bad/mediocre teams. Hawks have the 7th easiest remaining schedule. Spurs have the 15th.
 
I mean they will certainly make the play in. Only have to win 2 games from there against other bad/mediocre teams. Hawks have the 7th easiest remaining schedule. Spurs have the 15th.
Hawks can easily get below the Sixers. Spurs will tank if they don’t make win now moves.

They are gonna get to ~10% combined for #1 and ~40% combined for top-4. They’re going to hit on something. It happened for them *twice* last year (hitting top-4, then the other leaps pushing the Raptors to 8 which made their pick convey to the Spurs).
 
Do the Sixers have an incentive to lose that I missed? They owe their pick to OKC and they cannot out-tank it with certainty.
Top 6 protected so if they get to a point in the season where the injuries arent healing, they may pack it completely in. They currently have the 7th worst record, so they are close to being there.
 
Top 6 protected so if they get to a point in the season where the injuries arent healing, they may pack it completely in. They currently have the 7th worst record, so they are close to being there.
They’re two games out of the play-in and Chicago should be tanking (I think they’re trying to make tank deals at the deadline).
 
They’re two games out of the play-in and Chicago should be tanking (I think they’re trying to make tank deals at the deadline).
Yeah, the East is a ********. Philly has a ton of incentive to tank and Chicago are one of the worst run org's in the NBA, so dont expect them to make smart moves.

One thing we do know is that Atlanta has zero incentive to lose. They absolutely sucked this past month, but their schedule gets really easy vs teams who want to lose.
 
Kas has been bad from 3 for a stretch now and it's tanking his 3pt%. He's obviously less attractive as a prospect if he isn't a consistent outside threat. FWIW, I'm not currently concerned, but I'm now monitoring the situation.
 
So getting a top 6 pick in a great top 6 draft isnt a good reason? What thye going to do? Play for the play in and cross their fingers their big 3 is suddenly healthy?
They cannot assure that they keep their pick. They will struggle to get lower in the standings. A 25% chance at top-4 is a fine outcome if you’re trying to win, it is an awful outcome if they’re trying to lose. They are closer to making the play-in (and playoffs) moving down the standings at all or keeping their pick.
 
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