Over/Under on Alec Burks Projections

[franklin]

I think his actual production will be


14ppg
35% 3pt
44% overall
75% from the line @ 5 fta
2 ast
4 reb

Good post. How much do you think he'll score per 36 minutes?

 

[dipship31]

From BBall-reference.com




15.1 points -- Sell, 18.8
34% 3 point -- Sell, he'll shoot closer to 37%.
46% from 2 -- Sell, increased role will decrease his efficiency. 44%
4.4 FTA --Sell, closer to 5.5


*PER 36 MINUTES

I'm confused by what you were meaning by saying sell to all of the stats? Shouldn't it go:

Buy
Buy
Sell
Buy

 

[fgcamel]

I don't see it. I think the offensive options will be, in terms of priority:

1. Trey/Hayward pick and roll.
2. Trey (Kanter/Favors) pick and roll.
3. Trey drive and kick to Hayward.
4. Trey drive and dish to Kanter/Favors
5. Trey drive and kick to Alec.
6. Hayward drive/iso.
7. Alec drive/iso.

In all cases, Alec doesn't rise to the top of any offensive options - going to be hard for him to earn that many PPG when he's that low on the priority chart. He'll basically have to be extremely efficient with the opportunities he does get to be more of a priority in Corbin's offensive system.

I think if he is coming off the bench, which i think may be the plan, he could be the main attacking weapon on the floor for good stretches.

 

[A-Train (old)]

If he starts I will give him 18 PPG and if he is the 6th man I will give him 13 PPG.

 

[fgcamel]

If he starts I will give him 18 PPG and if he is the 6th man I will give him 13 PPG.

What sort of minute difference would you predict between him starting and him being the 6th man?

 

[Hotdog]

If he starts I will give him 18 PPG and if he is the 6th man I will give him 13 PPG.

This.


But I think Corbin finds a way to keep him on the bench.

 

[A-Train (old)]

What sort of minute difference would you predict between him starting and him being the 6th man?

28-32 mins as a starter and maybe 22-24 mins as a 6th man.

This.


But I think Corbin finds a way to keep him on the bench.

I hope he starts, but watch Corbin start Rush over him.

 

[fgcamel]

28-32 mins as a starter and maybe 22-24 mins as a 6th man.



I hope he starts, but watch Corbin start Rush over him.

I think i read a quote from Lowe on here somewhere today that said he would have the 6th role and he was cool with that. don't hold me to that though, may be misremembering.

 

[JazzyD]

Burks will be good enough this year that we could probably use him to move up in next years draft if we want too. We might have the luck to get two really good picks next year. We will have plenty of assets, and a couple players in burks and rush who might be expendable, and maybe could net us a top small forward in the draft/trade.

BOO! We could also perhaps, parlay our picks. Alec is going to be a valuable player for this team, why trade that for an unsure prospect? Hopefully, we can either give picks to move up, or sign a solid FA with the cap space leftover.

 

[Hotdog]

I think i read a quote from Lowe on here somewhere today that said he would have the 6th role and he was cool with that. don't hold me to that though, may be misremembering.

****

 

[franklin]

I'm confused by what you were meaning by saying sell to all of the stats? Shouldn't it go:

Buy
Buy
Sell
Buy

Sorry for the confusion. "Sell" is disagreement, followed by what I think is more likely.

If he starts I will give him 18 PPG and if he is the 6th man I will give him 13 PPG.

This.


But I think Corbin finds a way to keep him on the bench.

U tools don't even know wut per 36 means? The quality of posting has gone way downhill. CORBIN TEH WURST.......minivan.


Sry, that's my turrets.

 

[JazzyD]

Per 36:

19 pts
36% 3pt
44% 2pt
7 reb
4ast (if he's solely playing the 2)