If we have Burke, Hayward, Burks, Enes, Favors, and Parker/Wiggins, etc., can the Miller family afford to keep them all?
Next year's salary cap is expected to be 62.1 million. Looking at locking these guys up long term I would project the following
Favors (13m ), Kanter (6-8m for next two seasons, 10+ after) Hayward (11m), Burks (3 and 4.5 for next two years then 7m+) Burke (locked up through 17/18 at 4.5 or less) (draft pick) (5-9m per year over 4 years).
Next year we are looking at 44m for 5 core players. Leaving 18m to the cap for the rest. This is reasonable.
Fast forward a couple years and these five will be making an estimated 53m. If the salary cap doesn't go up, we either have a ****ty bench, pay excise tax or we let someone go.
Based on the next 3 seasons, Kanter, Burke and Burks are a bargain, but that could also make them good trade assets.
I think we have the cap room to keep everyone next year and see how things fit.
Short run won't be a problem. (BTW, your rookie scale is not correct.)
Best case long run scenario is creating the situation that OKC was in except choosing more wisely. A couple things on the money points -- The Jazz are owned by 1 family that makes money off the Jazz outside of basketball and not an investment group that needs the franchise to turn a profit. They can afford a payroll much higher than the cap, and even to pay LT for a few years. Also, new revenue sharing may up the Jazz' portion received from $5mm to $16mm. If they could afford LT for a year or so before then they can surely afford to go up to at least the LT line without ANY issues now.
In addition to revenue sharing is the LT pool -- they are separate pools. Spending the LT money is tbd each year, and is another potential revenue influx into the Jazz organization, or could be invested to lower league-wide operating costs.