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  1. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    Obviously I wanted us to win and obviously I’m sitting on here for results, but I didn’t have nearly as much anxiety as I normally would. It’s kind of why I’m glad I’ve stepped back a large bit the past few years. We all love draft and the hopes of endless possibilities, but a bird in hand is...
  2. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    I thought they were governors.
  3. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    Whatever is going to happen has already happened. It’s over.
  4. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    How much hype and commercial are we going to have to watch? Let's talk about the real odds. What are the odds they start reading the order before 5:20 pm mst?
  5. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    This would have to be correct. Before getting to #5, this would only be unfolding one scenario. It changes the odds of eliminating other scenarios, but ultimately wouldn't tell us anything. Unless you play the odds of "this would have been a very odd scenario." Since the first drawing is the one...
  6. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    Maybe. I'd have to think through it. In the Monty Hall problem, doors are revealed with purpose. Whereas with this, "doors" (so to speak) are revealed in a sequential order and without purpose, giving us some level of information that hasn't been filtered (only filtered in the sense of revealing...
  7. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    The Monty Hall problem is my favorite educational piece that I keep repeating when analogizing it to statistical significance and publication bias (i.e. something that appears so [the appearance of statistical significance] but is not).
  8. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    It's Log's lottery. We're 5th and the outside world is waiting to observe Log's observation.
  9. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    Unfortunately true.
  10. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    Yes, but it’s really an 86% chance.
  11. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    And you used up all your luck on a tankathon simulation…
  12. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    Here’s a live look at Adam Silver drawing balls.
  13. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    Did they already draw the balls?
  14. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    Somewhere out there is a fan base this morning that doesn't know yet that it won the lottery.
  15. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    I’m gonna run one now. Its findings are the real findings… stay tuned.
  16. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    For whatever reason, this made me think of everyone praying for you grandma in the form of a “We Are The World” performance. I asked AI to take the We Are The World video and to have them singing about the Jazz winning the lottery. This is what we got:
  17. infection

    Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

    Have you seen Drowning Mona?
  18. infection

    2025 Playoffs Chat & Chill Thread

    Yes. I won't mention who it was because we used to have this yearly tradition of rehashing this nearly verbatim and we've had like a 3-4 year hiatus from that, which I'm okay with. There were no arrests. Neither of the individuals are active here currently.
  19. infection

    2025 Playoffs Chat & Chill Thread

    No, that was someone else.
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