Handlogten's Heros
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Of course I speculate. We all do here. But saying DL dumping Exum for an expiring is a "win" is simply ridiculous. DL would see it as a big failure on every level.
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I would hope like hell he does not value sunk costs like you are suggesting. If you get out of a gamble you make that looks bad without much collateral damage that isn't failure. May not be a win, but it is as they say "cutting your losses". The win loss has already been somewhat determined.
The best thing that can happen is a huge fast success... the worst thing is a slow failure. The ********* part of drafting Exum is that he didn't fail fast.