I said we are not in the Wemby stakes with "any real odds" Point being : It won't matter if we are 5th or 12th we aint getting a top 4 pick without luck.
everyone has to have luck to move up in fact the top 4 and we are not getting into that range starting a tank campaign with 26 games left against orgs that have been tanking all season.
Not too mention the other teams that are focussed on developing younger players to close the season, with no hopes of winning in the playoffs even of they got there etc.
I estimate along with the Jazz at least 4 other teams that were mediocre near 500, before the break, will turn to tank mode along with us.
Depending on injuries like GSW,and NOP or flash in a pan over achievers like Indy and OKC. Hell I bet Raptors and NYK both tumble further and teams like Bulls who have been terrible if that continues, might throw in the towel resting starters in hopes of getting better odds at the top 4 to keep their pick.
So many possibilities for all these teams to take those draft slots from us.
If Clarkson can keep chucking low % shots and sucking at it, with only a few hot streak 1/2's, or somthing, we might get to the 7-8 range before the lottery.
Outside of that,or overplaying gleaguers and giving usage to bad shooters, we will win enough games against those types of tankers with the current roster, to prevent us from getting into the sweet spot behind the top 4