What's new
By:

An interesting statistic of Al Jefferson, and the win/loss percentages of this Utah Jazz team

  • Thread starter Thread starter Deleted member 848
  • Start date Start date
D

Deleted member 848

Guest
Was checking out the stats of our players on EPSN today,and I came across this:

https://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/2389/al-jefferson


When the Jazz win, Al Jefferson is averaging 53%

When we lose, Al Jefferson is averaging 39.3%

Perhaps this is attributed to a still-small sample size of games played, but this is still quite enlightening. I know Saps win/loss disparity in percentages isn't nearly as bad. A consistently performing Al could be the key to a playoff run this season. Quietly averaging 18/9 right now.
 
I'd bet you would find the same stat last year. I would like to see Jeff average 52-53 or so this year with better facilitating.


His offseason work is definitely showing. He is better just like every Jazz player outside Harris. Even <cough> Raja and CJ <cough cough>.
 
dalamon said:
Was checking out the stats of our players on EPSN today,and I came across this:

https://espn.go.com/nba/player/_/id/2389/al-jefferson


When the Jazz win, Al Jefferson is averaging 53%

When we lose, Al Jefferson is averaging 39.3%

Perhaps this is attributed to a still-small sample size of games played, but this is still quite enlightening. I know Saps win/loss disparity in percentages isn't nearly as bad. A consistently performing Al could be the key to a playoff run this season. Quietly averaging 18/9 right now.
Click to expand...
I think that says a lot. The other night I think Reggie Miller said how Harris goes so go the Jazz. You seem to me to be closer to the mark.
 
franklin said:
I'd bet you would find the same stat last year. I would like to see Jeff average 52-53 or so this year with better facilitating.
Click to expand...

Same. I remember there was a thread that I made before the season started, asking people what they wanted/expected out of Al this season.

I don't care for him to average 21/10; If he can average 18 points, 10 rebounds, 2 blocks and at least 2 assists, while shooting around 52%, I will be extremely happy. Right now he's sitting at around 48, so hopefully he can bump this up at some point.
 
In the first half of the last two games, Al has done a better job of attacking the basket. If the wings can contribute a bit more and Millsap can continue to convert at a such a high rate on 15-20 shots, Al shouldn't be too taxed to be aggressive when he has the ball and has an opening.
 
GVC said:
In the first half of the last two games, Al has done a better job of attacking the basket. If the wings can contribute a bit more and Millsap can continue to convert at a such a high rate on 15-20 shots, Al shouldn't be too taxed to be aggressive when he has the ball and has an opening.
Click to expand...

Very true. If our outside shooting recovers, Paul and Al could actually become a very formidable 4/5 combo.


I don't know how seriously some of us take Hollinger's PER statistic, but the Jazz are one of two teams that have both their starting 4 and 5 in the top 25 of PER ratings in the NBA

The magic have both anderson and howard in the 7th and 8th spots, whereas Millsap and Al take care of the 5th and 23rd spots, respectively.
 
Al shot 42% today.
I think the better stat is: When Al AND Milsap shoot with low efficiency, do the Jazz win?
 
Weezur said:
Al shot 42% today.
I think the better stat is: When Al AND Milsap shoot with low efficiency, do the Jazz win?
Click to expand...

The answer to this question is obviously no. As of right now, its safe to say that we can count on Millsap to shoot at a high percentage. He did it last season, and he'll most likely do it again. The X-Factor is whether Al can do it, and do it consistently. That is the over-arching theme of this thread. If Al can average 18/10/2/2 while shooting around 52%, and Millsap continues his steady production, I do not see how we can't be a playoff team this season.
 
Dalamon is coming with the goods like usual.

If the Jazz run the offense right then Millsap will get open looks for him. Hypothetically, it seems nice to have a pass for Millsap to make after catching the ball from Jeff but we are severely underestimating Mansap's silky smooth freethrow-in jumper. I guess he could look for a short three in his blind corner but why? He has that shot and that play is being run to near perfection.

I get the feeling that I am not appreciating just how well the Jazz are running that Millsap play.
 
franklin said:
Dalamon is coming with the goods like usual.

If the Jazz run the offense right then Millsap will get open looks for him. Hypothetically, it seems nice to have a pass for Millsap to make after catching the ball from Jeff but we are severely underestimating Mansap's silky smooth freethrow-in jumper. I guess he could look for a short three in his blind corner but why? He has that shot and that play is being run to near perfection.

I get the feeling that I am not appreciating just how well the Jazz are running that Millsap play.
Click to expand...

Its also nice because both Millsap and Jefferson are so gifted offensively, that if their passing continues to improve, you can't really double team any of them in any given night. Al Jefferson has been MUCH better at passing out of the double-team lately, and seeing Al-to-Sap feeds has become a regular occurrence as of late. Lets hope their chemistry continues to thrive.
 
franklin said:
I'd bet you would find the same stat last year. I would like to see Jeff average 52-53 or so this year with better facilitating.


His offseason work is definitely showing. He is better just like every Jazz player outside Harris. Even <cough> Raja and CJ <cough cough>.
Click to expand...

You should get that cough looked at.
 
Well, I guess it can be attributed that when we aren't going to Al Jefferson we are going more to jump shots from our less than impressive perimeter players.
 
I would like to see Jeff average 52-53 or so this year with better facilitating
Click to expand...

My guess is if Al keeps improving on his passing out of double teams and etc. (facilitating) his FG Pct. will go up. Because then he won't be forcing up shots under a heavy defense. Sometimes Al can even knock down some shots despite the double team but not at the same rate as open shots.
 
Al's at 47.4% on the year. That's horrid for a 4 or 5. I doubt his adjusted fg is any better, relatively speaking of course. That said, he does seem more committed to team ball and defense. So in short, I don't know what the hell to think about him. I do think we shouldn't trade him because without him, I think our offense would feel lost and there would be that much more pressure and defensive focus on Millsap. Right now, that's not a good thing imo.
 
Part of Al's inefficiency is he sometimes waits too long to decide to pass the ball and gets hemmed in by 2-3 players. Another factor is his teammates need to KEEP MOVING to give him an angle to pass the ball to them and avoid the turnover. We are doing way better at both this season than last. It's all part of playing as a team!
 
Al needs to learn how to deal with a double team. If he can figure out how to split the trap and pass out of the double team he will be incredibly dangerous. Right now he is very vulnerable to a double.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Share this page
Back
Top