Following Potential 2018 Draftees

[Miggs]

@Dr. Jones This Kira Lewis kid looks truly awesome. I'm a HUGE fan/believer in his talents. I just recently went thru his footage and it's undeniably dazzling. He's NBA starting PG quick, easily. Looks like a lotto pick to me. How was he so underrated? Lol

I saw Nfaly dante play 2 summers ago when he was 6'7. He's scary good already, looks like Serge Ibaka already its rediculous, he's a lock for the top5. UK must get these kids.

A Lewis / Maxey backcourt would be a buzzsaw just chewing thru defenses... That'd be one of Cals best guard pairings tbh....

Who cares? Cal wouldn't do jackshit with them so far as winning goes.

 

[Saint Cy of JFC]

I forgot about the rule change but the decision point still stands. If a player goes in the late 20's he is guaranteed about 2.5. Grow another year in college and break into the top ten and you are doubling that or more.

Add in the fact that top picks are usually on bad teams so you'll get more PT. Plus, young top picks tend to get retained the full 4 and a QO. Easier sell to the fanbase with players like Exum than letting a late pick walk after 2 seasons. GMs don't want to get fired over busting on early picks either, so I imagine bad teams put extra emphasis on high draft pick development.

Huerter isnt going to be a top 10 pick next year. He likely won't be lottery next year etiher, but it's possible.

And again, the difference between the 10th overall pick in 2019 and the 21st overall pick in 2018 is only 6.5 million over the first 3 years. That is a lot, but getting to the 2nd contract sooner is more important than that difference. The risk of injury or just not getting picked that high (most sophomores who are projected first round dont raise their stock the next year), is not worth that extra money over the first contract.

But like I said, I doubt this decision is unilaterally money driven. If it was, entering now is an easy choice. Plus the teams who are attached to him right now (Celtics, Jazz, and Spurs) are all great landing spots for player development.

 

[Ferguson_Mellochill]

At this point, I think it's fair to project that Zhaire Smith, Keita Bates-Diop and Troy Brown will all get picked before #21, likely in the 15 - 20 range.

Simons and Elie Okobo seem like the next two wildcards.

I think Huerter's range, if he stays in, will be about 19-26. Team fit and development opportunity are more important than draft position. Next year, maybe he goes 12 - 15, imo.

 

[Miggs]

Bruno Fernndo announced he is returning to Maryland. Not a good sign of things to come for Huerter staying in the draft.

Huerter canceled his workout with us that was supposed to be today to go home and talk with his family too. I’d guess he’s returning as well.

 

[Jazz4ever]

So Huerter works out for the lower drafting Lakers but skips our workout? Not liking that.

 

[Saint Cy of JFC]

So Huerter works out for the lower drafting Lakers but skips our workout? Not liking that.

He can always schedule a new workout. He probably has all the information he needs. I know he has a finger injury too, so that might have flared up.

 

[Saint Cy of JFC]

At this point, I think it's fair to project that Zhaire Smith, Keita Bates-Diop and Troy Brown will all get picked before #21, likely in the 15 - 20 range.

Simons and Elie Okobo seem like the next two wildcards.

I think Huerter's range, if he stays in, will be about 19-26. Team fit and development opportunity are more important than draft position. Next year, maybe he goes 12 - 15, imo.

I think KBD is the only one I would say for sure gets picked before 21. I think this draft will be pretty hard to accurately mock.

 

[Jack Strop]

Who else was in the workout today?

 

[Handlogten's Heros]

Huerter isnt going to be a top 10 pick next year. He likely won't be lottery next year etiher, but it's possible.

And again, the difference between the 10th overall pick in 2019 and the 21st overall pick in 2018 is only 6.5 million over the first 3 years. That is a lot, but getting to the 2nd contract sooner is more important than that difference. The risk of injury or just not getting picked that high (most sophomores who are projected first round dont raise their stock the next year), is not worth that extra money over the first contract.

But like I said, I doubt this decision is unilaterally money driven. If it was, entering now is an easy choice. Plus the teams who are attached to him right now (Celtics, Jazz, and Spurs) are all great landing spots for player development.

If it is about money it’s almost always much better to go if you are basically a first rounder.

While you could make an extra 5-6 M on the rookie deal what if you get hurt? Also even if you are a basic rotation player you’ll make 5M a year. Might even make half that in Europe... but get a major knee injury and fall to the second round and you’ve cost yourself 6-7M in guaranteed money.

Even if I wasn’t “ready” I’d still go and get ready on an nba check.

 

[Handlogten's Heros]

I think KBD is the only one I would say for sure gets picked before 21. I think this draft will be pretty hard to accurately mock.

Some folks, like Sam vecenie, seem lukewarm on him. I think he rose a bit in peoples minds but I think he’s rated high teens to early 20s. I don’t think he’s for sure gone... could be the OG of this draft.

If SA goes Okobo... Milwaukee always seems to do weird stuff, so they could take someone 20 spots too early... then a guy slides. I think it’s 60/40 ish that he’s gone before we pick. I like him but wouldn’t give up a ton to move up.

 

[SCS]

Who else was in the workout today?

 

[SCS]

Lots of players from local schools tomorrow