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Following Potential 2018 Draftees

zyzz said:


Maryland forward Kevin Huerter, a projected first-round pick in the June NBA Draft, underwent surgery to repair torn ligaments in his right hand, sources tell ESPN. He will be sidelined for two months.
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Well that would make SL boring... PASS!
 
If anything this is a stock booster for Huerter. He was impressing people in workouts with his shooting and at the combine w/ a ****ed up finger that needed surgery.

He injured his finger towards the end of the college year. Maybe he thought it would heal on it's own w/ rest, and then he aggravated it worse at the combine/private workouts? Or maybe he always knew it needed surgery and just wanted to get a handful of workouts in to make sure he was a first round pick. If he comes out at the end of the season and announces he is getting surgery maybe his stock never rises.
 
Saint Cy of JFC said:
If anything this is a stock booster for Huerter. He was impressing people in workouts with his shooting and at the combine w/ a ****ed up finger that needed surgery.

He injured his finger towards the end of the college year. Maybe he thought it would heal on it's own w/ rest, and then he aggravated it worse at the combine/private workouts? Or maybe he always knew it needed surgery and just wanted to get a handful of workouts in to make sure he was a first round pick. If he comes out at the end of the season and announces he is getting surgery maybe his stock never rises.
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I don't think injury is ever a stock booster. People knew he can shoot anyways...
 
stitches said:
Here's what ESPN's analytics models say about the prospects:

http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/23771351/espn-draft-analytics-model-makes-nba-draft-projections

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They also say Okobo is overrated :|
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Their model sucks. Here's last years...

http://www.espn.com/nba/story/_/id/...tars-starters-role-players-top-2017-nba-draft

"Donovan Mitchell projection: All Star- 0.15% chance, Starter- 9.87% chance, Role Player- 19.49% chance, NBA Caliber- 29.51% chance"
 
stitches said:
I don't think injury is ever a stock booster. People knew he can shoot anyways...
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Sure they can be. It can increase intrigue if he was playing so well during workouts with an injury, imagine what he could do full healthy. It's a finger/hand injury, nothing major. It's not like we are talking about a lower body injury.
 
Damn, I was really looking forward to watching Huerter in summer league if the Jazz pick him.
 
zyzz said:


Maryland forward Kevin Huerter, a projected first-round pick in the June NBA Draft, underwent surgery to repair torn ligaments in his right hand, sources tell ESPN. He will be sidelined for two months.
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NOOooooooooooooooo!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
Saint Cy of JFC said:
Sure they can be. It can increase intrigue if he was playing so well during workouts with an injury, imagine what he could do full healthy. It's a finger/hand injury, nothing major. It's not like we are talking about a lower body injury.
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Please find a situation where an injury leads to surgery which helped boost a prospect's stock.

Yesterday, you're telling us how a 21 year old not being able to lift 185 pounds means he's not a hard worker and today you're telling us a prospect getting surgery and missing workouts is going to improve his stock. In either case, where is there evidence this is true?
 
I think most teams pretty much have their boards set. Huerter wasnt going to fall based on minor surgery. Its not like he tore up his knee.
 
LoPo said:
Please find a situation where an injury leads to surgery which helped boost a prospect's stock.

Yesterday, you're telling us how a 21 year old not being able to lift 185 pounds means he's not a hard worker and today you're telling us a prospect getting surgery and missing workouts is going to improve his stock. In either case, where is there evidence this is true?
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How am I suppose to quantify and show proven boosted stock?
 
Handicap scenarios often lead to boosted stock. A player is out of shape and plays well, people will get excited about what could be if he got in shape. A player is playing through an injury, but is playing well, what happens when they get healthy? It's the same logic. And like I said, it's a hand injury. If it was a knee or back, or any surgery that had significant rehab time that bled into the regular season, then yeah, it's probably a negative.
 
Saint Cy of JFC said:
I mean, just think about it. If you saw a guy dominate a workout then found out he was playing with a finger that needed surgery, would you not be more impressed?
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I understand the logic, but I just don't see that it improves his stock.

A majority of the time, stock stays the same because teams have extensively done their homework.

Sometimes, stock will decrease because teams are worried about lingering affects of surgery, injury prone questions, etc. Also, many of these prospects are in a dead heat tie with other prospects. FO are looking for a slight edge or knock between prospects. This is the type thing that might break the tie for somebody else since Huerter doesn't have a chance to play in the Summer League.

I just find it very, very unlikely that a prospect's stock would improve considering the circumstances.
 
At a minimum, 2 out of the following 5 players will be available at #21:
  • Elie Okobo
  • Kevin Huerter
  • Anfernee Simons
  • Keita Bates-Diop
  • Jerome Robinson
 
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