Following Potential 2025 Draftees

[Handlogten's Heros]

If you’re in that boat, I’d say the risk of injury is higher than just going now and working to make the best of the situation. If you’re good enough to make it in the NBA, you shouldn’t put it off.

Probably right. If you are in the 20s you likely get a minimum of two years to see if you suck or not. So a minimum of 6-7M on top of whatever you made in NIL as a freshmen... even if you hang around Europe or get two ways for 5-7 years you've likely gotten to $10M+ in earnings. Show enough to finish out that rookie deal and you are 15M.

 

[Thee Jazz Fan]

When he jumps he looks like he is 6-7 because he's a special athlete. When he is just walking around the court or dribbling he looks 6-4.

Sounds like best of both worlds. When spring through the air towards the basket, he finishes like a 6-7 guard, and when weaving in and out of traffic, he’s like a speedy 64 load of the ground I’ll take that lol

 

[Elizah Huge]

When has returning to school helped someone who was already projected a lottery/first-round pick?

 

[Ferguson_Mellochill]

When has returning to school helped someone who was already projected a lottery/first-round pick?

It's helped a few, like Benedict Mathurin and Franz Wagner, who went lottery after their 2nd year of school when they otherwise would have been later FRPs.

There have been some for whom the decision to return or delay the draft a year has backfired. That Czech guy Roko Prkacin got hurt and fell off the map when he could have been a FRP. Overall, returning to school probably hurt Filipowski's draft stock, though there were other factors at play for him slipping to the 2nd round. You see how nearly everyone has forgotten about that Spanish forward Baba Miller at this point, when he was once considered a late 1st - mid 2nd-round pick.

 

[fishonjazz]

When has returning to school helped someone who was already projected a lottery/first-round pick?

I think that players rarely stay in school (especially prior to nil which is relatively new) so it would be a small sample size of a player even staying in the first place.

Not sure if staying would improve Demin position or not but I do think he would be on a better team next season and playing with AJ would increase the people who watch him play. Those things might help.
On the other hand, more eyeballs might be a bad thing if he has a similar season next year to this one.

 

[Handlogten's Heros]

When has returning to school helped someone who was already projected a lottery/first-round pick?

Zach Edey was never lotto pick before his senior year. Maybe late first. Only example that jumped out at me.

 

[Handlogten's Heros]

Zach Edey was never lotto pick before his senior year. Maybe late first. Only example that jumped out at me.

Maybe Keegan Murray and Haliburton? Just not sure where they stood when going back to school. Not a lot of great examples tho.

 

[SoberasHotRod]

We'll see on CMB. I believe he would have been a late first last year and could be a lottery pick this year.

 

[Saint Cy of JFC]

When has returning to school helped someone who was already projected a lottery/first-round pick?

Maybe Filipowski? I really dont remember where he was mocked before he declared he was returning to school.

 

[Saint Cy of JFC]

It's helped a few, like Benedict Mathurin and Franz Wagner, who went lottery after their 2nd year of school when they otherwise would have been later FRPs.

There have been some for whom the decision to return or delay the draft a year has backfired. That Czech guy Roko Prkacin got hurt and fell off the map when he could have been a FRP. Overall, returning to school probably hurt Filipowski's draft stock, though there were other factors at play for him slipping to the 2nd round. You see how nearly everyone has forgotten about that Spanish forward Baba Miller at this point, when he was once considered a late 1st - mid 2nd-round pick.

I tried to look up old mock drafts/big boards prior to him declaring returning to school and couldnt find any. He was set to have double hip surgery in the off-season, so I doubt he would have been a first round pick if teams knew he was doing that procedure.

 

[Saint Cy of JFC]

K, I actually found some old mocks, and Filipowski was mostly in the late first round of most mocks in January/February, so I would say it was a wash for him, but him having surgery in the off-season would have knocked him down once teams reviewed his medicals.

 

[Handlogten's Heros]

K, I actually found some old mocks, and Filipowski was mostly in the late first round of most mocks in January/February, so I would say it was a wash for him, but him having surgery in the off-season would have knocked him down once teams reviewed his medicals.

I think Flip is one you throw out because he absolutely should have been in the 20s in the draft at worst and the weirdest background story that didn't matter at all hurt his stock. I think he would have been early second late first in 2023. Had "buzz" in the teens for both 23 and 24 drafts.

Overall I'd say there is more downside than upside if you are a first rounder or borderline first round guy. NIL makes it more interesting though.