That's the chance Utah would take by not matching.
In the end, I think it's too risky for Utah NOT to match. If Hayward turns into an all-star with better coaching elsewhere, Lindsey loses his job. We had the chance to match. We'd still be under the cap. Jazz can still extend Burks, Kanter and then Burke and Gobert without going into the luxury tax.
Do I think Hayward should get the MAX? Hell, no! But Utah gambled and LOST...BIG TIME! They could have MAXED him last summer for a LOT less ($13.7M). Imagine the melt down on this board had Hayward gotten that much. Instead, the Jazz said, "prove it." All he had to do was impress one team; and he did that with Cleveland. Now he's getting nearly $16M/per for 4 years. But two of those seasons are when the Jazz will be under the cap and would pay the money out anyway (up to the floor). So it's really the last 2 years that matter.
Jazz have 11 days to make their decision. It's going to be interesting.