framer
Well-Known Member
I see all of the hand wringing about Hill is a lock to the Spurs, and I shake my head. Lets do the analysis.
1. Just about all of the possible destinations for Hill to go to have dried up. Not just the contending teams with cap, but almost all teams that are in the market for a point guard of any kind have that position covered.
2. That leaves the Jazz and the Spurs.
3. In order to get the money to spend for Hill at the contract that he will be looking for, the Spurs will pretty much need to liquidate Gasol, Green, or Aldridge. If effect they would be trading Gasol, Green, or Aldridge for Hill.
4. Green isn't going anywhere. He is a key ingredient of what the Spurs do and isn't easily replaceable in the system.
5. Gasol and Aldridge have been relative disappointments for what was given to get them, but they are your front line, without much depth behind them. And they don't suck. If you are going to jettison one or both, you will need to get back bigs with talent, preferably also with youth. George Hill is the opposite of what they would need.
6. The difference between Hill and Patty Mills at the 1 is far less than what you are going to get from swapping out Aldridge or Gasol and whatever you are going to get from the scrap heap.
7. Point guard is a position of need, but unless you are going to get a young star or a superstar with mileage, the cost is way too great to sacrifice your front court.
8. Hill is past 30 with a record of not playing for non-trivial stretches of the season. Spurs are one of the best GM'd teams in the league. They know this better than anyone.
9. Pop is not above, however, creating noise to drive up the price of one of his "favorite" players in order to get that player more money and to place more financial handcuffs on a rival.
10. DL is not an idiot either. I think he is aware of the market and that a 4 year 80 million dollar offer is more than enough to get Hill. However, I think that this offer is contingent on Hayward also signing. If no Hayward, the money available to Hill goes down considerably. If Hill and Hayward are "good friends" the only way that both maximize their value entirely is to stay in Utah, which is also a pretty good situation.
1. Just about all of the possible destinations for Hill to go to have dried up. Not just the contending teams with cap, but almost all teams that are in the market for a point guard of any kind have that position covered.
2. That leaves the Jazz and the Spurs.
3. In order to get the money to spend for Hill at the contract that he will be looking for, the Spurs will pretty much need to liquidate Gasol, Green, or Aldridge. If effect they would be trading Gasol, Green, or Aldridge for Hill.
4. Green isn't going anywhere. He is a key ingredient of what the Spurs do and isn't easily replaceable in the system.
5. Gasol and Aldridge have been relative disappointments for what was given to get them, but they are your front line, without much depth behind them. And they don't suck. If you are going to jettison one or both, you will need to get back bigs with talent, preferably also with youth. George Hill is the opposite of what they would need.
6. The difference between Hill and Patty Mills at the 1 is far less than what you are going to get from swapping out Aldridge or Gasol and whatever you are going to get from the scrap heap.
7. Point guard is a position of need, but unless you are going to get a young star or a superstar with mileage, the cost is way too great to sacrifice your front court.
8. Hill is past 30 with a record of not playing for non-trivial stretches of the season. Spurs are one of the best GM'd teams in the league. They know this better than anyone.
9. Pop is not above, however, creating noise to drive up the price of one of his "favorite" players in order to get that player more money and to place more financial handcuffs on a rival.
10. DL is not an idiot either. I think he is aware of the market and that a 4 year 80 million dollar offer is more than enough to get Hill. However, I think that this offer is contingent on Hayward also signing. If no Hayward, the money available to Hill goes down considerably. If Hill and Hayward are "good friends" the only way that both maximize their value entirely is to stay in Utah, which is also a pretty good situation.
