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NFL Thread 12-13

My picks: Broncos, pats, packers, falcons. (im pretty confident about the afc games, both the nfc games could go either way.)

Seems like NO ONE is picking the texans.
 
There is your first mistake.

I disagree. I'm +10. I don't trust Manning in the playoffs with the Ravens in his face but I do trust the Ravens to be very competitive. Four weeks ago when they played, it looked ugly. But one play really made the game. It was 10-0 and the Ravens were going in right at the end of the half, on the 2 yard line I think. Flacco threw a pick that was returned for a TD and it was 17-0 rather than 10-7 at half...in a game without Ray Lewis. Throw in the fact that Manning has to play today in sub 40 weather, after having four neck surgeries, and do so with a glove (because he has nerve damage), something he's not accustomed to and I love the Ravens +10. The road doesn't phase them. 27-20 Final.
 
Gyp, that Raven D is not anywhere near as badass as it used to be. Peyton will beat them by 2 touchdowns.

I don't disagree. But they play at or above their ability in the playoffs. I'm not sure Peyton will. To me, this game could come down to one guy. Ngati. If he can be a force, Peyton will dance around and get overly anxious.
 
Ngata's awesome but they can just double him. Raven's problem is mainly that they've tried and failed in two consecutive years to draft a replacement for Suggs who also was lost earlier than they anticipated.

Their outside pass rush is below average nowadays. It really makes everything a lot more difficult for them. Sure, Ngata will probably beat that double a couple times but he won't be able to dominate the game without there being some consequence to doubling him, and I don't think there really is one. Manning won't be as uncomfortable as you are imagining, and is going to be hungry as all hell.

The QB I don't trust is Flacco. IMO the only way the R's win is if Rice has an unearthly performance.
 
Ngata's awesome but they can just double him. Raven's problem is mainly that they've tried and failed in two consecutive years to draft a replacement for Suggs who also was lost earlier than they anticipated.

Their outside pass rush is below average nowadays. It really makes everything a lot more difficult for them. Sure, Ngata will probably beat that double a couple times but he won't be able to dominate the game without there being some consequence to doubling him, and I don't think there really is one. Manning won't be as uncomfortable as you are imagining, and is going to be hungry as all hell.

The QB I don't trust is Flacco. IMO the only way the R's win is if Rice has an unearthly performance.

I agree on the Ravens pass rush in general but disagree on the game. The Ravens will have to blitz and blitz a lot. Manning and the Broncos numbers fall off dramatically when blitzed.
 
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