Official NJ Nets Watch

[BENTLEY]

Sac's last game is at home, against the Lakers.
This will be the last game the Kings play in Arrco Arena (or whatever they play now).
The lakers will have just played the previous night at home against the spurs.
The lakers are slumping.
There is reasonable hope the kings end their season with a win.

Washington plays @ Cleveland.
They're both coming off of wins but the wiz beat the celts, whereas the cavs only beat the pistons.
But again, it's in Cleveland.
Still, it's in Cleveland.

The Nets play @ Bulls.
The Bulls might rest their starters.
So what.

 

[freakazoid]

The Nets play @ Bulls.
The Bulls might rest their starters.
So what.

I don't think so. Bulls could still get HC over Spurs on the tie breaker. They'll blow 'em out by halftime, then rest the starters.

 

[TheDude]

I watched the Kings game last night, and they really blew it. They had about 5 fast break opportunities where they came away empty, and Cousins decided that he wanted to play point guard. His box scores looked great, but the guy was a black hole in the middle and had some costly TOs and some really dumb plays.

On top of that, the worst goal tending no call I have ever seen.

 

[prodigy]

please be right

 

[bat]

Posted this on another forum. It is the breakdown of every scenario that could happen tomorrow night for our Nets Pick.

Best Case:
Nets lose @ Chicago finishing 24-58
Kings win vs. Lakers finishing 25-57
Wizards win @ Cleveland finishing 24-58

Giving the Jazz a 2 way tie for 4th best odds of winning the lotto, and worst case scenario 5th best odds.

2nd Best Case:
Nets lose @ Chicago finishing 24-58
Kings lose vs. Lakers finishing 24-58
Wizards win @ Cleveland finishing 24-58

Giving the Jazz a 3 way tie for 4th best odds of winning the lotto, and worst case scenario 6th best odds.

3rd Best Case:
Nets lose @ Chicago finishing 24-58
Kings win vs. Lakers finishing 25-57
Wizards lose @ Cleveland finishing 23-59

Giving the Jazz the 5th best odds of winning the lotto, no ties.

4th Best Case:
Nets lose @ Chicago finishing 24-58
Kings lose vs. Lakers finishing 24-58
Wizards lose @ Cleveland finishing 23-59

Giving the Jazz a tie for 5th best odds of winning the lotto, and worst case scenario 6th best odds.

5th Best Case:
Nets win @ Chicago finishing 25-57
Kings win vs. Lakers finishing 25-57
Doesn't matter what Wizards do.

Giving the Jazz a tie for 5th best odds of winning the lotto, and worst care scenario 6th best odds.

Worst Case Scenario:
Nets win @ Chicago finishing 25-57
Kings lose vs. Lakers finishing 24-58
Doesn't matter what Wizards do.

Giving the Jazz the 6th best odds of winning the lotto regardless.

 

[jazzrule]

Posted this on another forum. It is the breakdown of every scenario that could happen tomorrow night for our Nets Pick.

Best Case:
Nets lose @ Chicago finishing 24-58
Kings win vs. Lakers finishing 25-57
Wizards win @ Cleveland finishing 24-58

Giving the Jazz a 2 way tie for 4th best odds of winning the lotto, and worst case scenario 5th best odds.

2nd Best Case:
Nets lose @ Chicago finishing 24-58
Kings lose vs. Lakers finishing 24-58
Wizards win @ Cleveland finishing 24-58

Giving the Jazz a 3 way tie for 4th best odds of winning the lotto, and worst case scenario 6th best odds.

3rd Best Case:
Nets lose @ Chicago finishing 24-58
Kings win vs. Lakers finishing 25-57
Wizards lose @ Cleveland finishing 23-59

Giving the Jazz the 5th best odds of winning the lotto, no ties.

4th Best Case:
Nets lose @ Chicago finishing 24-58
Kings lose vs. Lakers finishing 24-58
Wizards lose @ Cleveland finishing 23-59

Giving the Jazz a tie for 5th best odds of winning the lotto, and worst case scenario 6th best odds.

5th Best Case:
Nets win @ Chicago finishing 25-57
Kings win vs. Lakers finishing 25-57
Doesn't matter what Wizards do.

Giving the Jazz a tie for 5th best odds of winning the lotto, and worst care scenario 6th best odds.

Worst Case Scenario:
Nets win @ Chicago finishing 25-57
Kings lose vs. Lakers finishing 24-58
Doesn't matter what Wizards do.

Giving the Jazz the 6th best odds of winning the lotto regardless.

Nice post Bat.

 

[Kenwood]

Very nice work Bat. However, one minor correction:

Giving the Jazz a 2 way tie for 4th best odds of winning the lotto, and worst case scenario 5th best odds.

In case of any tie, the tied teams won't really have better odds of winning the lottery because they split the combined odds for the 2 (or 3) positions. In this example, the two teams would split 119 + 88 chances, so one would get 104 chances and the other 103, or about the same odds.

Even more critical IMO is that the team that loses the tiebreaker (coin flip or dice roll) gets slotted later even if neither team wins the lottery. This is worst if there is a 3-way tie, where the difference between #4 and #6 can be huge.

 

[Ferguson_Mellochill]

Also, the closer to the top of the lottery the team is, the greater the likelihood that a team behind them will leapfrog them in the draft order. So, even if the Jazz got to the 4th spot, there is a good chance that two teams between 5 and 14 would get into the top 3 and drop the Jazz back to the 6th spot.

From where the Jazz sit now, it's most likely that they'll end up in the 5 - 7 range, unless of course, they win one of the top 3 spots.

 

[trigg3r]

So far the Basketball gods are smiling on us. The Lakers beat the Spurs so now they are tied with the Bulls for the best record in the NBA. Which means the Bulls will play their best players in the game today against the Nets. The Wizards are playing the Cavs on the road(toss up game since it is in Cleveland) and a win gets them 24 wins as well as the Nets(depending on the Bulls doing their job). The Kings play the Lakers at home. Bynum doesn't look like he will go in this game with the knee injury. I am not happy about the injury, just stating the facts. So maybe the Kings can pull off a win.

 

[NotDeadYet]

Teams out of the playoffs pick ahead of playoff teams, regardless of record.

Thanks, Darkwing. So if we were in the east... nah; don't need to get into that!

 

[Kenwood]

So far the Basketball gods are smiling on us. The Lakers beat the Spurs so now they are tied with the Bulls for the best record in the NBA. Which means the Bulls will play their best players in the game today against the Nets. The Wizards are playing the Cavs on the road(toss up game since it is in Cleveland) and a win gets them 24 wins as well as the Nets(depending on the Bulls doing their job). The Kings play the Lakers at home. Bynum doesn't look like he will go in this game with the knee injury. I am not happy about the injury, just stating the facts. So maybe the Kings can pull off a win.

Nets should lose. I could see the Wiz winning unless they just don't want to, and even then they are playing the Cavs so they might win even if they try to lose. Sacramento winning? I'm having a hard time believing. Dallas and New Orleans playing for something still, so that game could go either way, but Dallas is better and it's in big D. Mavs probably win, which pushes the Lakers to match to keep the 2 seed. As long as the Lakers are motivated, I don't think it matters if Bynum is out or how well Sacramento has played of late.

My best guess is NJ and Sacramento end up in a tie. Maybe the Wizards join them as well.

Crazy schedule as well, with almost everything being decided in the first 11 games of the night (all starting at 6:00 MDT). Then at 8:30 MDT the Sacramento game will complete the NJ pick puzzle and the Phoenix game may decide the 12th worst / 13th worst record "battle" between Jazz and Suns.

 

[Kenwood]

Posted this on another forum. It is the breakdown of every scenario that could happen tomorrow night for our Nets Pick.

Best Case:
Nets lose @ Chicago finishing 24-58
Kings win vs. Lakers finishing 25-57
Wizards win @ Cleveland finishing 24-58

Giving the Jazz a 2 way tie for 4th best odds of winning the lotto, and worst case scenario 5th best odds. Jazz & Wiz split 207 combinations, so 104 or 103 for Jazz.

2nd Best Case:
Nets lose @ Chicago finishing 24-58
Kings lose vs. Lakers finishing 24-58
Wizards win @ Cleveland finishing 24-58

Giving the Jazz a 3 way tie for 4th best odds of winning the lotto, and worst case scenario 6th best odds. 3 teams split 270 combinations, so 90 for Jazz.


3rd Best Case:
Nets lose @ Chicago finishing 24-58
Kings win vs. Lakers finishing 25-57
Wizards lose @ Cleveland finishing 23-59

Giving the Jazz the 5th best odds of winning the lotto, no ties. 88 combinations for Jazz.


4th Best Case:
Nets lose @ Chicago finishing 24-58
Kings lose vs. Lakers finishing 24-58
Wizards lose @ Cleveland finishing 23-59

Giving the Jazz a tie for 5th best odds of winning the lotto, and worst case scenario 6th best odds. Jazz & Kings split 151 combinations, so 76 or 75 for Jazz.


5th Best Case:
Nets win @ Chicago finishing 25-57
Kings win vs. Lakers finishing 25-57
Doesn't matter what Wizards do.

Giving the Jazz a tie for 5th best odds of winning the lotto, and worst care scenario 6th best odds. Jazz & Kings split 151 combinations, so 76 or 75 for Jazz.


Worst Case Scenario:
Nets win @ Chicago finishing 25-57
Kings lose vs. Lakers finishing 24-58
Doesn't matter what Wizards do.

Giving the Jazz the 6th best odds of winning the lotto regardless. 63 combinations for Jazz.

Added actual number of lottery combinations for different scenarios. Because I have nothing better to do just after midnight my time.