Good question. Both scenarios are unrealistic (by design, not a critique), but #1 is major Disneyland material. The 10 youngest teams in the league last year averaged 31 wins. Keep in mind that in 2009, Durant averaged 25 ppg, Westbrook was first team all rookie team, and the Thunder won 23 games. I'd be happy with 30 wins, thrilled with 35, as long as the kids are developing.