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Poll: Gobert PPG for 2015/2016

Over/Under on Rudy's PPG production in this 2015/2016 season:

  • Rudy will score OVER 13.8 PPG

    Votes: 9 25.7%
  • No, he will be UNDER 13.8 PPG

    Votes: 23 65.7%
  • Who cares, it's all about the BPG

    Votes: 3 8.6%

  • Total voters
    35
I voted over and here is why.

Rudy only scored 8.4 ppg last season. But that is very misleading:

Pre all-star he was at 6.9
Post all-star he was at 11.1.
In Feb (all-star month) he was at 8.4
March he was at 10.9
April he was at 12.3

So 13.8 ppg is only a 1.5 ppg increase. Gobert's use will go up and he will improve offensively and that will lead to an increase in his PPG.

I say 14.5 PPG
11.5 RPG
3.1 BPG
2 APG
Opponents shoot 40% or lower when Gobert is within 5 feet.
DPOY
Jazz top 3 D
 
I think he will settle in at between 11 and 12. He will become the focus of other teams in a big way this season and that tends to create another plateau for players. I look for him to average a double double and close to 3 BPG. Say 12 PPG, 11 RPG, 2.8 BPG.
 
I think he will settle in at between 11 and 12. He will become the focus of other teams in a big way this season and that tends to create another plateau for players. I look for him to average a double double and close to 3 BPG. Say 12 PPG, 11 RPG, 2.8 BPG.

I do not think he will be their focus. I think that Hayward, Favors, Burks and Hood will take that focus of Gobert and leave him in one on ones where he will dominate most nights.
 
I voted over and here is why.

Rudy only scored 8.4 ppg last season. But that is very misleading:

Pre all-star he was at 6.9
Post all-star he was at 11.1.
In Feb (all-star month) he was at 8.4
March he was at 10.9
April he was at 12.3

So 13.8 ppg is only a 1.5 ppg increase. Gobert's use will go up and he will improve offensively and that will lead to an increase in his PPG.

I say 14.5 PPG
11.5 RPG
3.1 BPG
2 APG
Opponents shoot 40% or lower when Gobert is within 5 feet.
DPOY
Jazz top 3 D

Going up 1.5 points (and April as a short month is misleading) isn't going to be easy. He hasn't shown any improvement offensively in the FIBA nonsense so far. But it's more than that. Where are these shots coming from? Burks is back. Exum should be more comfortable offensively and take more shots. We have Lyles now who should get some PT. Maybe Pleiss too.

I'm going to guess he ends somewhere around 11 ppg.
 
I voted over out of unbridled optimism, but I think he'll end up somewhere between 13-13.5 ppg.
 
. I look for him to average a double double and close to 3 BPG. Say 12 PPG, 11 RPG, 2.8 BPG.

This.
I give him another rebound per game though
12
12
And close to 3 blocks
 
I think he averages about 12. Utah will be playing more "making" guards instead of just shooting guards. Fewer offensive boards for Rudy.
 
Going up 1.5 points (and April as a short month is misleading) isn't going to be easy. He hasn't shown any improvement offensively in the FIBA nonsense so far. But it's more than that. Where are these shots coming from? Burks is back. Exum should be more comfortable offensively and take more shots. We have Lyles now who should get some PT. Maybe Pleiss too.

I'm going to guess he ends somewhere around 11 ppg.

- Faster pace which means more shots per game

- Snyder teaching unselfish basketball (I cannot remember the exact term he repeatedly used last year)

- Gobert being a % scorer since it is mostly at the rim

- Personal improvement

- Gobert getting dishes from Burks and Hayward drives.

- Lyles won't get a lot of playing time at Goberts expense

- Increase FT % (One game doesn't make me discount Gobert's fire to be better)

- Exum will improve but most of that will be in his pace and driving and dishing to the bigs and cutters.
 
I expect him to finish 2nd on the team in sportscenter highlights
 
Realistically, Rudy is always our #4/#5 option on the offensive end of the floor. He'll get his share of buckets off the P&R, a few lobs, and a few putbacks, but 14+ PPG is a pretty solid offensive output. I think 10-12 is more likely.
 
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