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Predict the Rudy Gobert trade

The other team the Jazz should look at as a rebuild model is New Orleans. They moved a disgruntled star player who couldn't carry the team to the playoffs, who demanded a trade, demanded his trade destination, and who quit on his team. They tanked one year, got the #1 pick, and traded the disgruntled star for a haul that included a #4 pick, two former #2 picks in Ingram and Ball, Josh Hart, plus 3 more 1st-round picks that they're still suckling on today.

They're now pretty stacked with CJ McCollum, Brandon Ingram, Herb Jones and Zion Williamson. They're about to add the #8 pick in this draft (courtesy of the Lakers), which could be Mathurin, Daniels, Duren, AJ Griffin, etc. They'll be a playoff team next year and still have another nice pick, plus a pick-swap coming from the Lakers. This is despite the fact that they've gotten nothing to show for Ball and Zion so far, while picks like Jaxson Hayes, Kira Lewis and NAW didn't pan out for them.

Then they've got another haul coming courtesy of the Bucks thanks to the Jrue Holiday trade.
 
New Orleans traded AD and got a haul. They traded Jrue and got a haul. They made the right trades and they did it opportunistically. They saw that the team they had wasn't good enough, so they pivoted and viewed their star players as trade assets to cash in when the moment was right.

For better or worse, this is the position the Jazz are in, and New Orleans is the model to follow.
 
It's only better to hold out if you'll actually get better offers. You torpedo your own ability to tank by not trading guys before the season. Huge failure if either Gobert or Mitchell are on the roster game one.
 
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