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Was Trump inevitable due to American Universities?

I plagiarised this: https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/education-not-income-predicted-who-would-vote-for-trump/

Excerpt:

"I took a list of all 981 U.S. counties1 with 50,000 or more people and sorted it by the share of the population that had completed at least a four-year college degree. Hillary Clinton improved on President Obama’s 2012 performance in 48 of the country’s 50 most-well-educated counties. And on average, she improved on Obama’s margin of victory in these countries by almost 9 percentage points, even though Obama had done pretty well in them to begin with...

"Now here’s the opposite list: The 50 counties (minimum population of 50,000) where the smallest share of the population has bachelor’s degrees...These results are every bit as striking: Clinton lost ground relative to Obama in 47 of the 50 counties — she did an average of 11 percentage points worse, in fact. These are really the places that won Donald Trump the presidency, especially given that a fair number of them are in swing states such as Ohio and North Carolina. He improved on Mitt Romney’s margin by more than 30 points in Ashtabula County, Ohio, for example, an industrial county along Lake Erie that hadn’t voted Republican since 1984."
 
Here is one of the best articles I have read about the descent of the left and the rise of Trump.

https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/11/16/you-are-still-crying-wolf/

A New York Times article from last September that went viral only recently: Crying Wolf, Then Confronting Trump. It asks whether Democrats have “cried wolf” so many times that nobody believes them anymore. And so:
When “honorable and decent men” like McCain and Romney “are reflexively dubbed racists simply for opposing Democratic policies, the result is a G.O.P. electorate that doesn’t listen to admonitions when the genuine article is in their midst”.
I have a different perspective. Back in October 2015, I wrote that the picture of Trump as “the white power candidate” and “the first openly white supremacist candidate to have a shot at the Presidency in the modern era” was overblown. I said that “the media narrative that Trump is doing some kind of special appeal-to-white-voters voodoo is unsupported by any polling data”, and predicted that:
If Trump were the Republican nominee, he could probably count on equal or greater support from minorities as Romney or McCain before him.
Now the votes are in, and Trump got greater support from minorities than Romney or McCain before him. You can read the Washington Post article, Trump Got More Votes From People Of Color Than Romney Did, or look at the raw data (source)


Trump made gains among blacks. He made gains among Latinos. He made gains among Asians. The only major racial group where he didn’t get a gain of greater than 5% was white people. I want to repeat that: the group where Trump’s message resonated least over what we would predict from a generic Republican was the white population.

Nor was there some surge in white turnout. I don’t think we have official numbers yet, but by eyeballing what data we have it looks very much like whites turned out in equal or lesser numbers this year than in 2012, 2008, and so on. [EDIT: see counterpoint, countercounterpoint]

The media responded to all of this freely available data with articles like White Flight From Reality: Inside The Racist Panic That Fueled Donald Trump’s Victory and Make No Mistake: Donald Trump’s Win Represents A Racist “Whitelash”.

I stick to my thesis from October 2015. There is no evidence that Donald Trump is more racist than any past Republican candidate (or any other 70 year old white guy, for that matter). All this stuff about how he’s “the candidate of the KKK” and “the vanguard of a new white supremacist movement” is made up. It’s a catastrophic distraction from the dozens of other undeniable problems with Trump that could have convinced voters to abandon him. That it came to dominate the election cycle should be considered a horrifying indictment of our political discourse, in the same way that it would be a horrifying indictment of our political discourse if the entire Republican campaign had been based around the theory that Hillary Clinton was a secret Satanist. Yes, calling Romney a racist was crying wolf. But you are still crying wolf.

I avoided pushing this point any more since last October because I didn’t want to look like I was supporting Trump, or accidentally convince anyone else to support Trump. I think Trump’s election is a disaster. He has no plan, he’s dangerously trigger-happy, and his unilateralism threatens aid to developing countries, one of the most effective ways we currently help other people. I thought and still think a Trump presidency will be a disaster.

But since we’re past the point where we can prevent it, I want to present my case.

I realize that all of this is going to make me sound like a crazy person and put me completely at odds with every respectable thinker in the media, but luckily, being a crazy person at odds with every respectable thinker in the media has been a pretty good ticket to predictive accuracy lately, so whatever.
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There is way more than this snippet. Well worth the read.
 
dalamon said:
This article is *poop emoji*
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Of course it is. It questions your quasi-religious leftist dogmas. I never expected more from you. You are probably one of the most closed-minded leftist ideologues I have personally been acquainted with. I've never seen anything from you that showed you were anything other than fanatically devoted to your political beliefs. This was posted more for those who seek to understand other viewpoints, and maybe even expand their understanding and tolerance of others. That is decidedly not you, so this is completely unsurprising.
 
LogGrad98 said:
Of course it is. It questions your quasi-religious leftist dogmas. I never expected more from you. You are probably one of the most closed-minded leftist ideologues I have personally been acquainted with. I've never seen anything from you that showed you were anything other than fanatically devoted to your political beliefs. This was posted more for those who seek to understand other viewpoints, and maybe even expand their understanding and tolerance of others. That is decidedly not you, so this is completely unsurprising.
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sir, and I state this respectfully-- how is one to read this post and walk away without thinking "wow, this man is full of the same 'condescension and contempt' he was just complaining about."
 
LogGrad98 said:
Of course it is. It questions your quasi-religious leftist dogmas. I never expected more from you. You are probably one of the most closed-minded leftist ideologues I have personally been acquainted with. I've never seen anything from you that showed you were anything other than fanatically devoted to your political beliefs. This was posted more for those who seek to understand other viewpoints, and maybe even expand their understanding and tolerance of others. That is decidedly not you, so this is completely unsurprising.
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Thats a great freaking post.
 
LogGrad98 said:
Here is one of the best articles I have read about the descent of the left and the rise of Trump.

https://slatestarcodex.com/2016/11/16/you-are-still-crying-wolf/



There is way more than this snippet. Well worth the read.
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All the articles you have been posting, and this one, are exactly spot on.

Its exactly how I feel about their nonsense right now. Gets worse by the day too. The more the left talks, the more I move right. The more they talk, the less I listen. Id be happy to listen to messages of Education, and climate, etc. But not their current garbage of race baiting PC crying wolf BS. They are making race realations worse by the day.

Fox news was doing almost the same thing when Bush was in office. I had the same reaction to it. But this is much worse. The garbage they are spewing is brainwashing a lot of the youth in the US too. Its very concerning. I abandoned Fox news a long time ago, now its one of the only places to escape the garbage out there. People want talk about fake news. CNN and the likes is seriously fake news right now.
 
This is how the left responds to things right now

Believe in free market capitalism = you are a white supremacist.

Believe in organized lawful immigration = you are a racist.

Dont vote for a women = you are a sexist.

Have a job and are succesful = white privelage.

Black guy gets shot by cop = All cops are white supremacist thugs hunting black people.

Defend a cop, or ask for evidence = white supremacist racist.

Like the United States = White Nationalist.

Disagree with a welfare state = racist.

On and on. Thats the weapon of choice by the pathetic left right now. They threaten everyone with it because they know it can ruin someone's life. But the effects of it are starting to wear off. People are getting sick of it.

Trump comes along and says I will say what I want and stand up to it, and people love him for it. Ignoring every wart he has
 
dalamon said:
sir, and I state this respectfully-- how is one to read this post and walk away without thinking "wow, this man is full of the same 'condescension and contempt' he was just complaining about."
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Lol give me a break. Of all the people on this forum you and thriller are the most fanatically tied to your religious...er political beliefs. I have been involved in and read plenty of discussions with lots of other posters where those involved seek to understand and even end up changing their beliefs even if there ia plenty of bickering in the process. You seek to bait and condescend at every turn. I've never once seen you modify your stance in the slightest, other than to attempt to change the argument itself to fit your narrative (American liberalism being "centrist" for example). You just play the "poop emoji" card when you can't actually defend your position and it keeps you firmly on your high horse. Ideologue fits you well.
 
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