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What does Donovans season actually look like?

If I'm being realistic I see something like
23 PPG
44.5% FG
35.5% 3FG
85% FT
4.5 RPG
4.5 APG
1.5 SPG
2.0 TOPG
0.3 BPG

That would be improvement in almost everything. But after last year I'm not going to put any limits on what he could do. He's a special talent.
 
25+, 5 and 5. He will also cure cancer and reverse global warming. All NBA second team and will also help old ladies with their groceries. He may also be elected governor of Utah for life. (not sure if its and election year, don't think it really matters)
 
SCS said:
If I'm being realistic I see something like
23 PPG
44.5% FG
35.5% 3FG
85% FT
4.5 RPG
4.5 APG
1.5 SPG
2.0 TOPG
0.3 BPG

That would be improvement in almost everything. But after last year I'm not going to put any limits on what he could do. He's a special talent.
Click to expand...

I find most of that realistic, however he will realistically average more like 27 points per game IMO. But, to be honest I’d rather see him average 20 points and 7-8 assists then 27 and 4
 
SCS said:
If I'm being realistic I see something like
...
35.5% 3FG
Click to expand...
About Donovan's 3-point percentage: it wasn't actually as good as it appeared, so we should adjust our expectations (and assessments) accordingly.

Up to Nov 22 (game 19), his 3-pt% was only 31.8% (34/107). He then had an insane shooting stretch over the next 6 games up to Dec 5, never shooting under 40% in any game and 49.1% overall, and on a high volume (27/55). After this hot streak, his shooting percentage from deep had vaulted up to 37.7%.

Unfortunately, that was his peak. His shooting percentage trended down from that point until almost the end of the season. It recovered slightly during one three-game hot streak (13/21) late in January, but those gains were more than undone by a cold streak from mid-March, going 9/44 (20%) over five games, including back-to-back 1/8 and 1/10 stinkers. This is where the downwards trend ended, at 33.5%; his last 9 games lifted him up slightly to his final 34% mark. However, if you take out his 6-game hot streak in December, his 3-pt% over his other 73 games was 32.3%. Also, overall from the end of this streak to the end of the season, it was 32.5%.

In short, other than a 6-game stretch, he shot around the 32% mark from deep. When predicting/assessing his improvement from last year to this, it would be more reasonable to set the baseline using this figure.
 
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Hitman said:
About Donovan's 3-point percentage: it wasn't actually as good as it appeared, so we should adjust our expectations (and assessments) accordingly.

Up to Nov 22 (game 19), his 3-pt% was only 31.8% (34/107). He then had an insane shooting stretch over the next 6 games up to Dec 5, never shooting under 40% in any game and 49.1% overall, and on a high volume (27/55). After this hot streak, his shooting percentage from deep had vaulted up to 37.7%.

Unfortunately, that was his peak. His shooting percentage trended down from that point until almost the end of the season. It recovered slightly during one three-game hot streak (13/21) late in January, but those gains were more than undone by a cold streak from mid-March, going 9/44 (20%) over five games, including back-to-back 1/8 and 1/10 stinkers. This is where the downwards trend ended, at 33.5%; his last 9 games lifted him up slightly to his final 34% mark. However, if you take out his 6-game hot streak in December, his 3-pt% over his other 73 games was 32.3%. Also, overall from the end of this streak to the end of the season, it was 32.5%.

In short, other than a 6-game stretch, he shot around the 32% mark from deep. When predicting/assessing his improvement from last year to this, it would be more reasonable to set the baseline using this figure.
Click to expand...
But his shooting form is perfect. And he can take, and is capable of making, every kind of shot. He already looks better this preseason shooting. Pitino said he improved his shot more than any player he had ever seen, and that process is still ongoing. He’s still the scapegoat on offense so he’ll have to take bad shots sometimes, efficiency won’t be great. But if he becomes a significantly better three point shooter I won’t be surprised at all. Especially spot up, I always feel like those are going in.
 
Bawse Dawg said:
But his shooting form is perfect. And he can take, and is capable of making, every kind of shot. He already looks better this preseason shooting. Pitino said he improved his shot more than any player he had ever seen, and that process is still ongoing. He’s still the scapegoat on offense so he’ll have to take bad shots sometimes, efficiency won’t be great. But if he becomes a significantly better three point shooter I won’t be surprised at all. Especially spot up, I always feel like those are going in.
Click to expand...
This
 
I think Mitchell will shoot slightly less often, but more efficiently. His playing time also should decrease a little bit due to the team depth. I predict, thus, just above 21 points, while taking around 15.5 shots in 32 minutes (compare it to 20.5 points, 17.2 FGA and 33.4 minutes last season). That is the best kind of improvement, IMO -- an improvement not in volume but in efficiency.
 
Good take, ghsartin. I think Donovan is going to look to pass more, especially to Rudy. I'm also hoping he plays fewer minutes. Got to keep him fresher for the postseason. Hopefully, Dante, AB and Allen earn minutes. And if the Jazz play well enough, maybe there are some games Mitchell won't have to play much, if at all, in the 4th quarter. That would also be my hope for Gobert. I think he averaged too many minutes last year.

Efficiency gains for everyone is what I'm hoping to see.
 
Thee jazz fan said:
I find most of that realistic, however he will realistically average more like 27 points per game IMO. But, to be honest I’d rather see him average 20 points and 7-8 assists then 27 and 4
Click to expand...

The Jazz have so much talent and they share the ball so much that it's hard for me to see him getting 25-27 PPG. I have no doubts that he could average that... I just think he's a team guy and he'll be sharing the ball. It's all about getting W's. :)
 
I really just don't see how he is in the super low 20's even with a reduced workload. He's still got the ball in his hands a ton, and will be our go to guy at the end of games. More free throw line appearances, better three point percentages. It comes quick, he is one of those guys where you look up and suddenly he's at 20 points and you don't even remember a lot of them.

But hey tempered expectations are good. I'm just trying to envision the scenario, and I have way more trouble than I do imagining him getting like 25PPG
 
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