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What next? 2014-15 Cap & Tax Space

Stifle Tower

Punch Bowl Re-Filler
OK, so we're all disappointed a big trade didn't happen. In all the post-trade letdown, I decided to see what the outlook is for 2014/15 in terms of cap space. Please note in the table below, Hayward is in at his cap hold (according to shamsports) and the contracts for Lucas, Garrett, Thomas and Clark are not guaranteed. First off, I am by no means a capologist (I defer to guys like GVC and Kenwood). But by my calculations, if Utah lets their expirings come off the books and renounces the rights to a few of the non-guaranteed deals, they would be able to free up roughly a MAX-type slot ($16M give or take). And that is accounting FOR Godron remaining with Utah. If they keep all their current players and only add their three picks and Neto, they would still be $10M-$13M under the cap (depending on Hayward's new contract).

Since there is a salary floor, I think it likely we see Lindsey go after 1-2 very good FA's (or make trades involving our picks). There are absolutely no financial worries. Again, the numbers above represent CAP space. There would then be $13M more to go before the Jazz reach the luxury tax line. That $13M cushion should be plenty to account for raises for Kanter and Burks.

Conclusion: the sky is not falling. Lindsey manuevered to get this cap space for a reason. The Jazz have plenty of assets to make some moves this summer, even though we're all weeping, wailing and gnashing our teeth because Utah is not going to be as bad as Milwaukee, Philly, LAL, Orlando and thus is unlikely to end up with Parker or Wiggins.
 
[TABLE="width: 291"]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl75, width: 388, bgcolor: white, colspan: 3"]Salary/Luxury Tax Outlook
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl78, bgcolor: white"]2013/14
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl79, bgcolor: white"]2014/15
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl80, bgcolor: white"]D. Favors
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl81, bgcolor: white"]$ 6,008,196
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl82, bgcolor: white"]$ 12,950,000
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl80, bgcolor: white"]E. Kanter
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl81, bgcolor: white"]$ 4,505,280
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl82, bgcolor: white"]$ 5,694,674
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl80, bgcolor: white"]G. Hayward
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl81, bgcolor: white"]$ 3,452,183
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl66, bgcolor: #c4d79b"]$ 8,630,458
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl80, bgcolor: white"]T. Burke
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl81, bgcolor: white"]$ 2,438,760
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl82, bgcolor: white"]$ 2,548,560
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl80, bgcolor: white"]A. Burks
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl81, bgcolor: white"]$ 2,202,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl82, bgcolor: white"]$ 3,034,356
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl80, bgcolor: white"]J. Evans
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl81, bgcolor: white"]$ 1,660,257
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl82, bgcolor: white"]$ 1,794,872
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl80, bgcolor: white"]R. Gobert
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl81, bgcolor: white"]$ 1,078,800
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl82, bgcolor: white"]$ 1,127,400
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]J. Lucas III
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: white"]$ 1,600,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl97, bgcolor: #ffff66"]$ 1,600,000
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]D. Garrett
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: white"]$ 719,266
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl97, bgcolor: #ffff66"]$ 915,243
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]I. Clark
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: white"]$ 490,180
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl97, bgcolor: #ffff66"]$ 816,482
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]M. Thomas
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: white"]$ 702,233
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl97, bgcolor: #ffff66"]$ 948,163
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]2014 -# 6 Pick
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl83, bgcolor: white"]$ 3,200,000
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]2014 -#23 Pick
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl83, bgcolor: white"]$ 1,200,000
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]2014 -#36 Pick
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl83, bgcolor: white"]$ 500,000
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]R. Neto
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl83, bgcolor: white"]$ 1,000,000
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl84, bgcolor: white"]R. Jefferson
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl85, bgcolor: white"]$ 11,046,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl86, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl84, bgcolor: white"]A. Beidrins
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl85, bgcolor: white"]$ 9,000,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl86, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl84, bgcolor: white"]M. Williams
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl85, bgcolor: white"]$ 7,500,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl86, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl84, bgcolor: white"]B. Rush
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl85, bgcolor: white"]$ 4,000,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl86, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl87, bgcolor: white"]M. Harris
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl85, bgcolor: white"]$ 393,384
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl87, bgcolor: white"]J. Tinsley
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl85, bgcolor: white"]$ 139,951
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl80, bgcolor: white"]Total Salaries
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl81, bgcolor: white"]$ 56,936,490
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl82, bgcolor: white"]$ 45,960,208
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl80, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl81, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl82, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl88, bgcolor: white"]Salary Cap
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl89, bgcolor: white"]$ 58,679,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl90, bgcolor: white"]$ 58,679,000
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl91, bgcolor: white"]Luxury Tax
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl92, bgcolor: white"]$ 71,748,000
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl93, bgcolor: white"]$ 71,748,000
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl94, bgcolor: white"]Cap Space
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl95, bgcolor: white"]$ 1,742,510
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl96, bgcolor: white"]$ 12,718,792
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl91, bgcolor: white"]Tax Space
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl92, bgcolor: white"]$ 14,811,510
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl93, bgcolor: white"]$ 25,787,792
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"]Notes:
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl69, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white, colspan: 3"]1. Gordon Hayward - cap hold amount for 2014/15
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white, colspan: 3"]2. Yellow shading = non-guaranteed contracts
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white, colspan: 2"]3. 2014 Draft picks - used 2013 amounts
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl70, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white, colspan: 2"]4. Neto is approximate.
[/TD]
[TD="class: xl70, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl67, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl68, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl70, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl71, bgcolor: white, colspan: 3"]https://data.shamsports.com/content/pages/data/salaries/jazz.jsp
[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TD="class: xl72, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl73, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[TD="class: xl74, bgcolor: white"][/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

Please note I kept the cap and luxury tax figures the same for 2014/15 as this year.
 
Good work core4
must spread the rep
 
damn, the lakers and the heat entire teams are unrestricted free agents?
 
There are very few players on any list that the Jazz could both:
1) want
2) get


This is why the tank/this years pick is so important
 
There are a handful of FA's that would be good additions. Whether it's 2014 or going into 2015, teams are going to be manuevering for the big names. There will be trade opportunities available, either to facilitate and pick up more assets, or to acquire solid veterans.
 
There isn't a single max guy out there that would want Utah, nor is there a single guy that would be worth Utah giving max dollars to get them to come to Utah.

Utah has a choice to make this summer if they don't win the lottery:

Go all Minnesota/Milwaukee/other crappy team and overpay on crappy vets (Hayward included) and make a run at the 8th seed.

or

Tank another year.

That is where we stand as of right now. Utah needs to lose and they need to lose DESPERATELY.

I don't get all the anti-tank people. You could have one bad year, get a future HOF guy, and compete for titles, or remain bad for a long, long time. It looks like we have chosen the second option.

Too bad.

Here's to hoping Favors doesn't play another game this year.
 
There isn't a single max guy out there that would want Utah, nor is there a single guy that would be worth Utah giving max dollars to get them to come to Utah.

Utah has a choice to make this summer if they don't win the lottery:

Go all Minnesota/Milwaukee/other crappy team and overpay on crappy vets (Hayward included) and make a run at the 8th seed.

or

Tank another year.

That is where we stand as of right now. Utah needs to lose and they need to lose DESPERATELY.

I don't get all the anti-tank people. You could have one bad year, get a future HOF guy, and compete for titles, or remain bad for a long, long time. It looks like we have chosen the second option.

Too bad.

Here's to hoping Favors doesn't play another game this year.

And just how do you propose we tank another year? Trade Favors, Burke and Burks?
This season we've had Burke go down for 15 games, Favors miss a handful, Hayward miss a few. Gordon has had his worst year shooting-wise; Kanter's defense has been awful. Jazz have one of the worst coaches in the league. And yet, there are teams far worse than Utah.
 
And just how do you propose we tank another year? Trade Favors, Burke and Burks?
This season we've had Burke go down for 15 games, Favors miss a handful, Hayward miss a few. Gordon has had his worst year shooting-wise; Kanter's defense has been awful. Jazz have one of the worst coaches in the league. And yet, there are teams far worse than Utah.

Which is why we have become Minnesota.
 
Boston, Sacramento, Orlando and Philly all made big moves for the tank. We didn't. Because of that, we will be picking 10-16 for the next ten years.

We had better hope one of the GS picks is a home run...again.
 
Boston, Sacramento, Orlando and Philly all made big moves for the tank. We didn't. Because of that, we will be picking 10-16 for the next ten years.

We had better hope one of the GS picks is a home run...again.

So what move would you have made?

Philadelphia: I'll concede that one. Congrats to Philly for pinning all their hopes on Nerlens Noel, this year's picks and a bunch of second-rounders. They're all in on a big gamble. Do they become OKC or flounder like so many teams (Kings, Cavs, etc) who get high picks every year but never seem to improve much?

Sacramento: I wouldn't call trading for Gay earlier this season and then moving Thornton (to clear PT for McLemore) a big tank move for Sacramento. They're bad every season...no matter what they do.

Boston: traded away their big three before the season. Ok, fantastic. Let's get rid of Favors, Burke and Hayward for trash. Then overpay a couple of FA's to add to a top-3 pick. Definite championship.

Orlando: Only significant roster change from last year was losing Redick and gaining Oladipo. Tanking? Definitely. On purpose? Well, they've been bad for quite some time.

Utah: Umm, lets see...Millsap, Mo Williams, Al Jefferson, Randy Foye. Four of their top-5 scorers from last season. GONE! DeMarre Carroll. Decent bench player, part-time starter. Gone!

Added: T. Burke, Gobert (draft) Added: Garrett, Clark, Thomas (FA's). Added: R. Jefferson, A. Biedrins, B. Rush (trade for two firsts and two seconds).

I'd say the Jazz did far more to tank than a lot of teams. Unfortunately Favors, Burks, Burke and even Kanter and Hayward have just been too good. I'm really, really sorry that Alec and Trey weren't total busts. Had they been, maybe the Jazz would have been as bad as Milwaukee, Philly and Orlando.
 
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