I`ve been thinking about this for a few days and tried crunching some numbers. Next season`s salary cap is projected to be $134 million. Projections for future years vary wildly, but with the new cap smoothing regulations in the CBA, I use fixed 10% raises for these calculations.
If Lauri plays out his current contract and signs a new 4 year max deal with max raises with us, his total salary for the five seasons after the next will be $237 million (Option A below). If we renogotiate and extend by giving him the full max in 2024-2025 (Option B) we can match this total salary while still going a lot lower in the following years.
A: 18,05 - 48,6 - 52,5 - 56,7 - 61,3
B: 44,22 - 47,8 - 51,6 - 47,8 - 46
With option A, Lauri will take up 28,9% of the salary cap in 2027-2028. With option B, he will take up 24,3%. In 2028-2029, the percentages are 28,4 and 21,3.
These differences are huge and may be the difference between us avoiding the 2nd apron or not if - or when - we get our next very good team. With the descending salary he should also be a very nice trade piece if he have to pivot again, as long as he plays well and avoids injuries. He also very well might take a bit less as we help him earn more money earlier. a 5/$200 renegotiation and extension would be a fantastic deal for the Jazz.