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Win Totals Over/Under Odds

Elizah Huge

Elizah Huge

Respect All, Fear None
Contributor
2024 Award Winner
The Jazz are currently tied for the 3rd lowest for win total projections. The current line for us is 24.5. The Pacers are also 24.5, the Rockets are at 23.5 and the Spurs are at 22.5.

The Magic are next at 26.5 and the Pistons round out the teams who are projected under 30 wins with 28.5.

Minnesota is at 47.5 which honestly seems a little low to me considering they won 46 last year without Gobert.

Cleveland is at 46.5 which also seems low considering they won 44 last year without Donovan.

The odds put Minnesota fighting with Dallas for the 6th seed and put Cleveland fighting with Atlanta for the 6th seed.
 
I'd bet Jazz Over, Minnesota Over, Cleveland Under.

Minnesota is the easy one, I think. IMO they should have a 50+ win team this season.

Cleveland is a bit iffy. Sure, they got Donovan, but have a massive hole at the SF. Very likely going to be many interesting matches, but unless they get their hands on a 3&D to play at the SF, then I find it hard for them to win more than 45, because their opponents will surely exploit that.

Jazz atm, with the dudes on list right now, looks to me like a 30+ win team. However, the saloon doors are still swinging wildly, so I would hold on to put any bets on Jazz atm.
 
Jazz alternate win total over 28.5 is +260

Jazz to Participate in Play-in Tournament is +1400

Agbaji to win Rookie of the Year is +3000

Sexton to win Most Improved Player is +3000

Sexton to average 25+ PPG and Markkanen to average 17+ PPG is +500

Sexton to average 26+ PPG and Jazz to win 26+ games is +550

Markkanen to average 18+ PPG and 9+ RPG is +1100

Sexton to average 26+ PPG and Jazz to win 30+ games is +1100
 
Minnesota is even money +100 and Cleveland is +125 to participate in the Play-in Tournament.
 
How on Earth could Sexton be in the running for Most Improved when his last full season he averaged a fairly efficient 24 ppg?

Seems like Lauri would be our most likely to win Most Improved.

I put the Jazz over at 24.5 assuming no other trades happen. Only thing that would really change that is if they trade Mike and Beasley while getting no help back.
 
Saint Cy of JFC said:
How on Earth could Sexton be in the running for Most Improved when his last full season he averaged a fairly efficient 24 ppg?

Seems like Lauri would be our most likely to win Most Improved.

I put the Jazz over at 24.5 assuming no other trades happen. Only thing that would really change that is if they trade Mike and Beasley while getting no help back.
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He averaged 16pts a game in 11 games last year man.
 
Elizah Huge said:
Jazz alternate win total over 28.5 is +260

Jazz to Participate in Play-in Tournament is +1400

Agbaji to win Rookie of the Year is +3000

Sexton to win Most Improved Player is +3000

Sexton to average 25+ PPG and Markkanen to average 17+ PPG is +500

Sexton to average 26+ PPG and Jazz to win 26+ games is +550

Markkanen to average 18+ PPG and 9+ RPG is +1100

Sexton to average 26+ PPG and Jazz to win 30+ games is +1100
Click to expand...

I wouldn't take a single one of those myself.
 
Bodhi said:
He averaged 16pts a game in 11 games last year man.
Click to expand...
Because of injury. Voters arent going to "reward" the most improved trophy to a guy who had a bad 11 game season due to injury. He will be looked at as a 24 ppg player.
 
I will wait until 1 day before the season starts before I bet on this. Lot can still happen with the roster. However , the trending to tank for Wembanyama is looking more and more realistic with every vet that departs
 
Elizah Huge said:
Jazz alternate win total over 28.5 is +260

Jazz to Participate in Play-in Tournament is +1400

Agbaji to win Rookie of the Year is +3000

Sexton to win Most Improved Player is +3000

Sexton to average 25+ PPG and Markkanen to average 17+ PPG is +500

Sexton to average 26+ PPG and Jazz to win 26+ games is +550

Markkanen to average 18+ PPG and 9+ RPG is +1100

Sexton to average 26+ PPG and Jazz to win 30+ games is +1100
Click to expand...
I think Lauri gets like 19 and 7 per game. Jazz have a lot of centers and Vanderbilt who should be solid rebounders, averaging 9 will be tough unless we are playing him like 35 mpg.
 
Saint Cy of JFC said:
Because of injury. Voters arent going to "reward" the most improved trophy to a guy who had a bad 11 game season due to injury. He will be looked at as a 24 ppg player.
Click to expand...
i thought you were a fact based poster? Like, its a hallmark of yours and whatnot? He didnt score 24 pts a game last year.
 
I dont see anyone on this roster actually winning MIP.Not unless the Jazz shock everyone, and are just as good as last season. Yeah good luck with that. I have them winning 38 on a good day if they dont trade anyone else and are in the 12-14 range in the lottery before the drawing.That would be a non tank result obviously.
 
IF NONE OF Conley, Clarkston, Beasley, Markkanen, Sexton are traded, then I see us winning about 34 games. However I do think some of them will be traded and we will only win about 23-27 depending on which ones are traded and when.
 
Right now I think this is a 30 win team which should put us around 12 or 13 in the west. In the east I think the bottom 4 are the magic, Knicks, wiz and pacers. I don't think any of those teams will be really bad though.
 
sip said:
Right now I think this is a 30 win team which should put us around 12 or 13 in the west. In the east I think the bottom 4 are the magic, Knicks, wiz and pacers. I don't think any of those teams will be really bad though.
Click to expand...

After the Bogey trade? No way. Before it, sure. I could’ve seen 30-37 wins. Now? Our ceiling is about 25-26. I’m guessing we go 22-60. If we trade Conley, 18-64.
 
Let's wait if any other trade or not. IG no change i see us at 32-37, if we trade Mike and JC, 20-62, we could end bottom of the league.
 
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