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With Dallas's loss at Memphis...

If Utah can make a statement and roll over LA and San Antonio next week - then all of a sudden I won't be all that concerned about seedings.

Jazz need to win the division first and have home court advantage in the first round - there's really no excuse for not getting that done.
 
KrazeeEyezKilla said:
So you're saying seeding's an indicator of our chances of winning the division?
Click to expand...

Yes, chances of winning the playoffs. There is some variation of chances based on two x factors ; injuries, and whether the team in question is the returning champion, but in general, the higher the seed, the better chances of advancing in the playoffs, IMO.
 
northeast said:
Yes, chances of winning the playoffs. There is some variation of chances based on two x factors ; injuries, and whether the team in question is the returning champion, but in general, the higher the seed, the better chances of advancing in the playoffs, IMO.
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Wait, can you explain this to me again? Only in a way that makes sense and isn't completely moranic.
 
So what?

Dirk isn't going to stay injured forever and the season isn't even halfway over and we've been playing a bunch of bums lately. A lot can happen between now and the end of the season. However, I think one thing that's apparent is that we need to add another shooter to this team. A perimeter player that can score consistently score from the outside will keep defenses from the Spurs, Lakers, Heat, Mavs, and Celtics honest.

If we really want to celebrate something lets celebrate a win against the Spurs, Lakers, or Heat right now. I think they're giving (fans) confidence that we'll do the exact same against good teams. Lets return to reality. Good teams will clog the lane and prevent Deron, Millsap, and Al from scoring. We've seen this from the good teams this year.

Who will step up? Raja? AK? CJ (he's been doing it as of late)?

Personally, I think we need to add one more piece to the puzzle.
 
northeast said:
More importantly, the chances of just advancing to the second round based on a seed:
1 99%
2 96%
3 85%
4 60%
5 40%
6 15%
7 4%
8 1%
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Upon reflection, 6th seeds do get a significant number of upsets.
I'd adjust the odds as follows:
98
90
70
60

40
30
10
2
 
northeast said:
Upon reflection, 6th seeds do get a significant number of upsets.
I'd adjust the odds as follows:
98
90
70
60

40
30
10
2
Click to expand...

Ya know, you could always use google to get historically accurate percentages of all the seeds, one through eight. Unless you like pulling numbers out of your...
 
go ahead and do it, I would be interested in your findings.
historical averages will vary for different time periods.
 
The Thriller said:
So what?

Dirk isn't going to stay injured forever and the season isn't even halfway over and we've been playing a bunch of bums lately. A lot can happen between now and the end of the season. However, I think one thing that's apparent is that we need to add another shooter to this team. A perimeter player that can score consistently score from the outside will keep defenses from the Spurs, Lakers, Heat, Mavs, and Celtics honest.

If we really want to celebrate something lets celebrate a win against the Spurs, Lakers, or Heat right now. I think they're giving (fans) confidence that we'll do the exact same against good teams. Lets return to reality. Good teams will clog the lane and prevent Deron, Millsap, and Al from scoring. We've seen this from the good teams this year.

Who will step up? Raja? AK? CJ (he's been doing it as of late)?

Personally, I think we need to add one more piece to the puzzle.
Click to expand...

I'm interested to see what Memo brings once he's back up to speed. He creates match up problems and is a solid shooter the team needs oh so badly. I think a healthy Memo could be that piece.
 
At this point, I would much rather have the 3rd seed and play the 6th seed than have the 4th seed and play the 5th, even if the Lakers are the 2nd-seed.

The dropoff between the #5 and #6 teamsin the West is substantial, and just because the Jazz can average 125 points against the Knicks and Cavs isn't enough for me to assume a first-round playoff win against the Thunder or Mavs is a lock.
 
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