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You're undervaluing Gobert - 538 speaks

I could be wrong because I was reading this earlier today piecemeal while otherwise occupied with different tasks, but wasn't the main point about the stats not that there are one or two statistical models highlighting Rudy's defensive season, but that all of the models consistently put him at the top? Every model has variance and outliers, but my take-away was that he's preforming so well that his performance isn't being negated by any kind of variance or anomaly in any model, and therefore give further credibility to it being legit.

It'd be like testing students on a certain subject matter. Every test is imperfect and includes bias that will impact where people fall in the distribution, but if you have one student scoring 98-100% on all the tests, the amalgam shows that the individual doesn't seem to be particularly phased by any variance or bias in the tests and that they're having a ceiling effect.
Yes, both Ben's article and the Ringer article made this point, and made it well. It is a powerful point.

But there are ways to rebut it and reasons people may choose to downplay it, nonetheless.

Defensive stats are kind of like IQ tests or college entrance tests. They are as close as we seem to be able get to measuring the thing we want to measure (intelligence, defensive ability, for example), but there are a lot of good reasons to think that not all parts of the whole basket of attributes we value (about intelligence, defense) are completely measurable. Or that someone's place within a particular system may predispose them toward higher scores according to the leading measures that exist.

It's great that Rudy scores high on virtually all the measures, because each measure looks for something a little different than other measures. But this is not the same thing as saying that all things that are valued about defensive ability (or intelligence for that matter) can be measured by the set of all measures. Even though the tests collectively measure a lot, they're not collectively taking into account everything we value about defense, simply because some of those things are unmeasurable (or depend too much on teams' systems).

This doesn't change the fact that I think Rudy's the best defensive player in the world. It just acknowledges that there are limits to the measures we have, even when utilized collectively.
 
Yes a bit click baity title, but I believe for 95% of even top fans and for likely more of the broad NBA fan base this is probably true.

Here's the defensive side of why:


Pretty hard not to say Gobert may be the greatest defensive player in history if you're open minded about the data.

By being the smartest defender ever (not going for blocks when it doesn't help the team, learning to handle drop coverage adjustments by top tier 3 assassins, understanding how to be the ultimate help defender in a broken 2v1 from a PnR) and his unique body type the man enables so-so defenders around him to become a top defense year in and year out.

There's another article waiting to be written about his offensive prowess as the perfect work horse 3 point enabling machine. Not as impactful as his D but still mighty important.

And it's likely why he got more than Spida as the team realizes it and wants to reward his drastically underappreciated impact on the game.

Haven't posted much lately but can't help it when something I've guessed at for a long time gets crystallized so succinctly at 538.

Great read, thanks.
 
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