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Extensions, baby!

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Hedda Gambler

Well-Known Member
Looking at our salary situation over the next year, the Jazz FO have some decisions to make. It looks very likely that a tear down will not happen as the Jazz are full of praise for our players, and especially the younger ones. If they do think that this team has a potential to make real noise in the West, they have to be proactive. Traditionally, the Jazz have been very conservative and have let the market dictate the values for our players. This time they have to act much, much earlier to avoid having to let key players go because of tax concerns.

The two players that have to break out if we are to have any chance of getting HCA, are Hood and Exum. They are both RFAs next year. We would love to see one or both of them really grow into stars this season, but if we don`t extend them now, that could end up really hurting us. If either Hood or Exum - or both - play well next season, a team is going to throw the max at them. We need to prevent this by signing both of them to extensions now. If we could get both for a combined $30 million next year, we could go into next off season knowing that we could pay Favors $20 million and still not go into the luxury tax. If we don`t extend them and Hood shines in the absence of Indiana Judas, he will get maxed next year and he and Exum will end up costing us $40+ million combined.

The table below shows the salaries for 2018. I`ve combined Exum and Hood for $30 million, added salary for the pick 17 next year (Playoffs, baby!) and three second round picks. Neto`s salary is his cap hold and he can be released. Burks is in there too and can be moved, but if we can fit it all under the tax, he expires when Rubio needs a new deal.

Cap projections for 2018 at the moment are $103 million and $125 for tax.

PLAYER SALARY
Gobert 22,742
Rubio 14,8
Favors 20
Ingles 12,54
Burks 11,287
Exum 12
Hood 18
Neto 1,84
Bolomboy 1,545
Mitchell 3,111
Bradley 1,68
#17 2,07
2nd rounder 1
2nd rounder 1
2nd rounder 1
SUM 124,615
 
Well, Jazz will certainly try to trade Burks. And there's a chance we get Crowder.

But I am happy that it looks like the Jazz can pretty much afford to keep everyone in the short term.
 
Hedda Gambler said:
Traditionally, the Jazz have been very conservative and have let the market dictate the values for our players.
Click to expand...

Conservative, sure, but they always try to extend. They only let the market dictate value when the player's performance didn't justify the amount of money they were asking for.

But yeah, they need to extend Hood and Exum. If Hood won't extend, I think you have to seriously consider trading him.
 
Cappy_Smurf said:
Conservative, sure, but they always try to extend. They only let the market dictate value when the player's performance didn't justify the amount of money they were asking for.

But yeah, they need to extend Hood and Exum. If Hood won't extend, I think you have to seriously consider trading him.
Click to expand...

The problem is that letting a soon-to-be RFA`s recent play dictate his value, is lazy work. You have to make a qualified guess as to how good this player will be down the road. By simply judging him by his prior performances, you give up the edge you have of seeing this player every day as part of the team.
 
The Jazz need to make this happen with BOTH guys. We're going to be too good to tank into a top pick, so we need to develop the talent we've already drafted.
 
Siro said:
Your numbers seem a bit too low. The might be the floor of what Hood would agree to.
Click to expand...
The thing is, if Hood has another injury filled year what are teams giving him?

The Jazz at least have a solid bargaining stance that his injury problems have been significant.

Sent from my A0001 using JazzFanz mobile app
 
Hedda Gambler said:
Tim Hardaway jr. just got 70+ million with a PO and trade kicker. There will be one team screwing us if we don't get an extension done.
Click to expand...
Yeah, its always a possibility. Its also possible for Hood that those teams target someone else first, get them, then Hood is left with no suitor. That will inevitably happen with some of this years RFAs.

Sent from my A0001 using JazzFanz mobile app
 
Siro said:
Your numbers seem a bit too low. The might be the floor of what Hood would agree to.
Click to expand...


I think 10-12 per for Exum is fair and potentially a great contract for the Jazz.

Not sure why Hood could demand more than 15-17 per year. I guess in an expanded role (SF vs catch and shoot guy) he might blow up. In Hood's case he has had an extra year to develop.

But those offers show commitment to them - and also recognition by both of them that they have yet to fulfill their potential.
 
Hedda Gambler said:
The problem is that letting a soon-to-be RFA`s recent play dictate his value, is lazy work. You have to make a qualified guess as to how good this player will be down the road. By simply judging him by his prior performances, you give up the edge you have of seeing this player every day as part of the team.
Click to expand...


Is this a subtle jab regarding FO and Hayward :)
 
Saint Cy of JFC said:
Yeah, its always a possibility. Its also possible for Hood that those teams target someone else first, get them, then Hood is left with no suitor. That will inevitably happen with some of this years RFAs.

Sent from my A0001 using JazzFanz mobile app
Click to expand...

With Exum I can see this happen, but barring a major injury, someone will make a huge offer to Hood. He's a wing with decent size who can shoot and will get a featured role on the Jazz this season.
 
Hood's range is huge.

Could have breakout year and be a monster (think that is in the cards)

Or he could have another year of injuries which in turn lead to the same inconsistent play yet again.

Sent from my A0001 using JazzFanz mobile app
 
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