I think he has an Andrew Wiggins mindset. I’d be terrified to pick him.
I’d pick Doncic and if I was 2 I’d see what I could get to move to 5ish if it’s good I’d move down.
At #2, I'd feel comfortable taking Bagley in most situations. I think he'll learn to shoot, and his ability to get on the rim and finish with 2nd efforts will translate. He should be a great pick-and-roll guy.
I just think the way the league is going, a big has to really run the floor. Failing to get back in transition is a big weakness. Ayton is a good athlete, but asking him to run hard all night may be too much. He's built like Patrick Ewing. I like JJJ as much as Ayton for the modern game.