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Early Predictions for the 2018/19 Season

How many games do you think the Jazz will win?

  • 60+

    Votes: 6 7.4%
  • 55 - 59

    Votes: 26 32.1%
  • 50 - 54

    Votes: 47 58.0%
  • 45 - 49

    Votes: 1 1.2%
  • 40 - 44

    Votes: 1 1.2%

  • Total voters
    81

Ferguson_Mellochill

Well-Known Member
2019 Prediction Contest Winner
Yes, it's early to make predictions about the upcoming season, but if something major happens we can revise the thread.

How do you think the Western Conference will shake out 1 - 15?

Who do you think emerges as the Jazz's #2 and #3 scorers?

How deep in the playoffs do you think the Jazz will go this year?
 
I'll say the top 8 teams in the WC go like this:
  1. Warriors (65 wins)
  2. Rockets (58 wins)
  3. Jazz (56 wins)
  4. Thunder (51 wins)
  5. T'wolves (48 wins)
  6. Blazers (47 wins)
  7. Pelicans (47 wins)
  8. Lakers (47 wins)
Donovan averages 24.5/4 with 3.5 assists
Gobert averages 14/11 with 2.5 blocks
Rubio averages 13/5 with 6.8 assissts
Favors averages 12/8 with 1.0 blocks
Exum breaks out and averages 12/4 with 3.4 assists as our 6th man

The Jazz's defense is top 3 in the league along with Golden State and Boston.
The Jazz's offense jumps up to 12th.
 
Also, someone is going to trade for Kevin Love this year. The Jazz might be one of the teams considering it. That would give us an 18/10 PF next to Gobert, albeit one who is a liability on defense.
 
I don’t think the Warriors or Rockets are going to do as well as last year. The west is going to be a slugfest. I think we have the chance to steal the 2 spot, contingent on Mitchell and Gobert’s ability to stay injury free.
 
How I think the west pans out:

1. GSW - 64 wins
2. Houston - 55-ish wins barring injury and Capella resigning.
3. Utah - 55-ish wins.
4. OKC - 53 wins. Getting rid of Anthony helps them, but how Roberson is affected by his knee, if at all, remains to be seen.
5. Blazers - 50 wins
6. Pelicans - 48 wins
7. Lakers - 47 wins
8. T'wolves - 46 wins.

Jazz predictions:

Mitchell goes off for 24 to 25 ppg, 3-5 assists, and a couple of boards on increased efficiency. Get an all-star and all-NBA nod.
Favors goes off for 16 ppg on increased 3p%, albeit slightly. Just enough to establish him as a threat.
Ricky goes for 18 ppg, 6 ast, 5 reb and 2 steals on continued good percentages. Becomes an all-star snub.
Crowder increases his FG% and 3p% by getting the system figured out. Seems to be a general thing where it takes 5 to 6 months to get it worked in.
Jingles just Jingles.
Gobert gets a few extra touches once his post game comes to life. Becomes an all-star because, damn it, defense really is important.

Out of left field?:

Grayson gets ROTY mentions because his shot falls, gets rotation minutes, and effectively plays off of Mitchell's gravity. He supplants Exum and Neto as Rubio's backup and gets invited to Ingles' house next offseason to learn from the master after Joe recognizes his potential.
Royce increases his offensive game go about 12 ppg on decent shooting. Lindsey celebrates with Quin by doing several lines.
Derrick becomes an all-star because his 3p% becomes good enough that he goes to 20 ppg as the Jazz run more plays through him.
Gobert becomes MVP.
 
49-51 wins and the beloved 5th spot again.

47 wins for The Lakers is a little low - LeBron can fart 47 wins. I think we're looking at:

GSW
Rockets
Thunder
Lakers
Jazz

The Spurs and Pelicans fight it out for 6/7

The Grizzlies and Blazers fight for the 8th spot.

T-Wolves and Nuggets are outside looking in unless they somehow figure out how to play defense.
 
Rubio and Mitchell average 38-39% from 3 this upcoming season.
 
I don’t think the Warriors or Rockets are going to do as well as last year. The west is going to be a slugfest. I think we have the chance to steal the 2 spot, contingent on Mitchell and Gobert’s ability to stay injury free.

Warriors wont do as well as last year? What lead you to that brilliant conclusion? Is it because they are getting old?
 
1. Warriors 65+ wins. (no need to explain anything)
2. Rockets 57 wins. (they will really miss Ariza and Mbah ah Moute, so I wouldn't be surprised if they win fewer, but will be in the top4)
3. Utah 56 wins (Homer pick, but I believe that Rubio will be closer to the second half Rubio than the first. I could see them passing Rockets. I may be taking too much from their 29-6 to finish the season, but its hard to ignore, plus add Exum and Sefalosha)
4. OKC 50wins. (This one may be a bit high. Carmelo was a liability in the playoffs, but I do think he helped them during the season. Depends on how well Grant plays in a starting role, assuming he starts)
5. LAL 48 wins (this is tough to predict. They were good the last 1-2 months and add Lebron, but the rest of the FA moves were headscratchers)
6. Minn 46 wins (They could break down, but with Butler healthy they were a pretty good team
7. NOP 45 wins (They were dang good in the playoffs, but that was with playoff Rondo. They will be good enough to make the playoffs, but won't be one of the top teams)
8. Nuggets 42 (They edge out the last playoff spot with Milsap healthy the whole year. They could be really tough in coming years if Michael Porter Jr stays healthy. He was a steal at 14)
9. Portland 41 (They just miss out. They lose 2 key bench players in Davis and Napier, and add nothing of significance. Lillard had to become Superman for 2 months to carry them down the stretch last year, don't know if he can do it this year. Unless Zach Collins takes a huge jump this year, they are in trouble)
10. Spurs. 39 (This is tough to predict. They could very well move up with the right guys added in a Kawhi trade Fact is, a few teams will miss out)
11. Dallas 35 (Somewhat improved with DJ, but not enough to really contend for the playoffs
12. Phoenix. 30 (Improved, but still very young. Plus they will give Ayton a chance to grow)
13. Grizzlies 29 (probably due to injuries, like every year)
14. Clippers. 28 ( they are out of the playoffs, and may trade some guys at the deadline. They are all in on FA 2019)
15. Sacramento 24 (They are the Kings, this is what we expect of them)
 
Houston and GSW both will have over 60 wins, Jazz will be over 55. Rest I do not care really. We will be nr. 3 seed and probably go all the way to game 7 vs whoever we play in Western semis.
 
Obviously health will once again be a key factor, but if we don't have too many injuries I definitely think we can win 55 or more games.
 
1 Warriors 62 wins Draymond and Boogie run a season long contest to accrue the most tech fouls Boogie, growing frustrated at his lack of recovery from his achilles injury and strict diet to control his weight , finally snaps at the end of the regular season and picks up and eats Steph Curry after hearing someone call out "look there's Curry" Thus the Warriors dynasty comes to an end.

2 OKC 58 wins I think they'll surprise this year with a great regular season. Settled roles, no Carmelo Then Roberson will be exploited on offense in the playoffs and lose in the 2nd round. Russell Westbrook picks up a role in an offseason movie about the French revolution, where he introduces the next great one liner in cinema history .. "good execution"

3 Rockets 57 wins. I think they peaked last year and that was their one realistic chance to win. CP3 starts to lose a step, and losing their perimeter 3&D guys hurts. James Harden dyes his beard yellow as a protest at cowardly management not spending deep into the tax to keep Ariza. CP3 schedules weekly meeting with his accountant accusing him of embezzlement

4 Jazz 55 wins. Donovan surprisingly struggles a little in year 2 and only improves to 26 ppg. Joe Ingles dunks 25 times this season, becomes bored taunting opponents and embarks on season long tirade trash talking opposing coaches, gets into a fistfight with Thibs after screaming in his face "don't guard him" every time Ricky makes a 3 against Minny. Which happens an average of 6 times per game. Grayson Allen reincarnates the spirit of Jerry Sloan and every game he's interviewed after starts mumbling about falling in love with the 3 point shot. Derrick shoots 33% from 3 and becomes a fringe all star. Dante finally clicks about 25 games in and goes on a 20ppg tear before being picked up as an extra in the next Saw movie, and suffers a series of horrendous mutilations/injuries during filming of a torture scene, again bringing his season to an early end. Sits on the bench for the rest of the year rocking back and forth mumbling "i want to play a game"

5 Lakers 48 wins. LeBron averages 36. Screams "WTF" 3 times a game on average trying to figure out how his roster was assembled. Lakers team becomes invited not to the white house but to be the ensemble in a remake of One Flew over the Cuckoo's nest. Swept in the first round by the Jazz .. cause losing to Utah is what LBJ does. Starts a campaign on nation TV for the Lakers to draft his son, featuring him smashing his head thru a door and calling out "here's Bronnie !!"

6 Wolves 46 wins Andrew Wiggins suspended a league record 15 games for being as Adam Silver explained " a flat out dumbass" KAT visibly weeps every time Rudy swats his **** Jimmy Butler undergoes court ordered anger management counselling after continuing to shreik at the top of his lungs every second game "imma tired of babysitting these bois" and "NO fan favourites on this team !!"

7 Nuggets 44 wins. In a surprise playoff appearance the Nuggets actually win their last 23 consecutive games after moving to a lineup of starting 5 small forwards and playing 4 combo forwards off the bench. Nikola Jokic and Isiah Thomas feature on a pay per view grudge cage match after Jokic snapping and stepping on and squashing Thomas after hearing the court announcer scream " the liiiiittttllllee guy" one too many times.

8 Spurs 43 wins Scrape in the playoffs one last time. LMA sets the record for the NBA player who looks old af .. listed as being 57 years of age in the Spurs media guide. Kawhi plays at all star level until the trade deadline when he isn't moved. Then starts a campaign of deliberately hoisting up air balls and then shrugging at reporters and saying "ask his people" while pointing at Pops running back down the court. Pops engages Kawhi in a game of who will blink first and keeps playing him 48 mins a game while Kawhi tanks, feels invigorated by the process and signs a 15 year extension. Rudy Gay constantly heard muttering that his injury was much worse. Spurs media guide shows 8-9 players pictures with the description "we don't know who tf these dudes are but we somehow get it to work"


Honorable mentions - Pelicans AD struggles to regain his mojo after coming into training camp with not only his eyebrows waxed clean off but every other single hair on his body. Blazers taken a couple of backward steps. Dame has a few 65 point games against Utah, picks up a Rolex sponsorship

Can't wait, going to be a bloody ripper year.
Slow work day btw ..
 
I'll say the top 8 teams in the WC go like this:
  1. Warriors (65 wins)
  2. Rockets (58 wins)
  3. Jazz (56 wins)
  4. Thunder (51 wins)
  5. T'wolves (48 wins)
  6. Blazers (47 wins)
  7. Pelicans (47 wins)
  8. Lakers (47 wins)
Donovan averages 24.5/4 with 3.5 assists
Gobert averages 14/11 with 2.5 blocks
Rubio averages 13/5 with 6.8 assissts
Favors averages 12/8 with 1.0 blocks
Exum breaks out and averages 12/4 with 3.4 assists as our 6th man

The Jazz's defense is top 3 in the league along with Golden State and Boston.
The Jazz's offense jumps up to 12th.
No Ingles?
 
1 Warriors 62 wins Draymond and Boogie run a season long contest to accrue the most tech fouls Boogie, growing frustrated at his lack of recovery from his achilles injury and strict diet to control his weight , finally snaps at the end of the regular season and picks up and eats Steph Curry after hearing someone call out "look there's Curry" Thus the Warriors dynasty comes to an end.

2 OKC 58 wins I think they'll surprise this year with a great regular season. Settled roles, no Carmelo Then Roberson will be exploited on offense in the playoffs and lose in the 2nd round. Russell Westbrook picks up a role in an offseason movie about the French revolution, where he introduces the next great one liner in cinema history .. "good execution"

3 Rockets 57 wins. I think they peaked last year and that was their one realistic chance to win. CP3 starts to lose a step, and losing their perimeter 3&D guys hurts. James Harden dyes his beard yellow as a protest at cowardly management not spending deep into the tax to keep Ariza. CP3 schedules weekly meeting with his accountant accusing him of embezzlement

4 Jazz 55 wins. Donovan surprisingly struggles a little in year 2 and only improves to 26 ppg. Joe Ingles dunks 25 times this season, becomes bored taunting opponents and embarks on season long tirade trash talking opposing coaches, gets into a fistfight with Thibs after screaming in his face "don't guard him" every time Ricky makes a 3 against Minny. Which happens an average of 6 times per game. Grayson Allen reincarnates the spirit of Jerry Sloan and every game he's interviewed after starts mumbling about falling in love with the 3 point shot. Derrick shoots 33% from 3 and becomes a fringe all star. Dante finally clicks about 25 games in and goes on a 20ppg tear before being picked up as an extra in the next Saw movie, and suffers a series of horrendous mutilations/injuries during filming of a torture scene, again bringing his season to an early end. Sits on the bench for the rest of the year rocking back and forth mumbling "i want to play a game"

5 Lakers 48 wins. LeBron averages 36. Screams "WTF" 3 times a game on average trying to figure out how his roster was assembled. Lakers team becomes invited not to the white house but to be the ensemble in a remake of One Flew over the Cuckoo's nest. Swept in the first round by the Jazz .. cause losing to Utah is what LBJ does. Starts a campaign on nation TV for the Lakers to draft his son, featuring him smashing his head thru a door and calling out "here's Bronnie !!"

6 Wolves 46 wins Andrew Wiggins suspended a league record 15 games for being as Adam Silver explained " a flat out dumbass" KAT visibly weeps every time Rudy swats his **** Jimmy Butler undergoes court ordered anger management counselling after continuing to shreik at the top of his lungs every second game "imma tired of babysitting these bois" and "NO fan favourites on this team !!"

7 Nuggets 44 wins. In a surprise playoff appearance the Nuggets actually win their last 23 consecutive games after moving to a lineup of starting 5 small forwards and playing 4 combo forwards off the bench. Nikola Jokic and Isiah Thomas feature on a pay per view grudge cage match after Jokic snapping and stepping on and squashing Thomas after hearing the court announcer scream " the liiiiittttllllee guy" one too many times.

8 Spurs 43 wins Scrape in the playoffs one last time. LMA sets the record for the NBA player who looks old af .. listed as being 57 years of age in the Spurs media guide. Kawhi plays at all star level until the trade deadline when he isn't moved. Then starts a campaign of deliberately hoisting up air balls and then shrugging at reporters and saying "ask his people" while pointing at Pops running back down the court. Pops engages Kawhi in a game of who will blink first and keeps playing him 48 mins a game while Kawhi tanks, feels invigorated by the process and signs a 15 year extension. Rudy Gay constantly heard muttering that his injury was much worse. Spurs media guide shows 8-9 players pictures with the description "we don't know who tf these dudes are but we somehow get it to work"


Honorable mentions - Pelicans AD struggles to regain his mojo after coming into training camp with not only his eyebrows waxed clean off but every other single hair on his body. Blazers taken a couple of backward steps. Dame has a few 65 point games against Utah, picks up a Rolex sponsorship

Can't wait, going to be a bloody ripper year.
Slow work day btw ..
Pretty sure it would take AD the entire off-season to wax all of his hair. He is pretty close to Robin Williams-level body hair I am sure.
 
Jazz - 82
GS - 62
Lakers - 54
Rockets - 52
Pelicans - 49
TWolves - 48
Thunder - 48
Blazers - 45
Nuggets - 41
Spurs - 41
Dallas - 39
Clippers - 32
Phoenix - 25
Sacramento - 24
Grizzlies - 22
 
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