Obviously. I want the most monies.
But I do fully believe we'll get the two seed. We're a better basketball team than the Nuggets and we have an easier schedule than them. And the Clippers are just coasting to the playoffs.
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Obviously. I want the most monies.
But I do fully believe we'll get the two seed. We're a better basketball team than the Nuggets and we have an easier schedule than them. And the Clippers are just coasting to the playoffs.
So I was deep diving some numbers.
The Lakers really live at the rim. They are 4th in the NBA in attempts at a distance of 5 feet or less and they are 1st in FG% from that distance at 67.3%.
Away from the rim they only shoot 39.1% on shots from 5-9 feet, 39.7% on shots from 10-14 feet, an abysmal 36.4% on shots from 15-19 feet, 40.4% on shots from 20-25 feet, and 34.2% from 25-29 feet. They tend to settle for 15-25 footers when they don't get to the rim too.
In other words they are very vulnerable if a team limits/takes away the rim.
I'm interested to see how this reliance on production at the rim works out for the Lakers in the playoffs when defenses tighten and buckets are harder to come by.
In theory, if the Jazz were to face the Lakers and the Jazz executed their defense the way it is designed to work they could cause problems for the Lakers. Because there's not a better rim protector in the league than Rudy Gobert.
The Lakers really live at the rim. They are 4th in the NBA in attempts at a distance of 5 feet or less and they are 1st in FG% from that distance at 67.3%.
Away from the rim they only shoot 39.1% on shots from 5-9 feet, 39.7% on shots from 10-14 feet, an abysmal 36.4% on shots from 15-19 feet, 40.4% on shots from 20-25 feet, and 34.2% from 25-29 feet. They tend to settle for 15-25 footers when they don't get to the rim too.
In other words they are very vulnerable if a team limits/takes away the rim.
I'm interested to see how this reliance on production at the rim works out for the Lakers in the playoffs when defenses tighten and buckets are harder to come by.
In theory, if the Jazz were to face the Lakers and the Jazz executed their defense the way it is designed to work they could cause problems for the Lakers. Because there's not a better rim protector in the league than Rudy Gobert.
Okay. But like I said... if the defense works the way that it is supposed to work... i.e.- everyone on defense is connected and working together to funnel to Rudy, rotate correctly on time, etc... Then he doesn't have to guard all of them at the same time.
This actually needs to be shouted from the rooftops and really needs its own thread. Or its own media campaign and I-15 billboard. It seems like one of those things we'll be all blasé about before the fact and then after a serious *** kicking, think "oh, yeah, I guess this series exposed that perhaps we should have another rim protector." Can anyone imagine the onslaught that will happen when Bradley checks in to the game? Or the fact that they will target Rudy, and with them shooting that much at the rim, he's going to have multiple games of minutes limited by foul trouble? Yeah, more time for TB. Get Udoh on this roster yesterday.
@NUMBERICA I need some anger here.
carolinajazz
Well-Known Member
The way were playing now, I see no reason why we won't finish at least that good or even better!
The Jazz went 21-7 over their last 28 games. Looking at the schedule, I could see us going 20-8 or 19-9 over the remaining 28 games.
Expected losses would be: @BOS, @LAL, @DAL, @SA, @POR, @OKC (1x), maybe one of the NOLA/MEM and 1-2 other home losses, e.g., SA/HOU on B2B, TOR, LAC. We might win an extra 1 or 2 of those games, but could also take a sneaky loss along the way.
Jazz are favored in 9 of the next 10 games. If we can win 8 of them, we'll be in good shape. We need to be 44-20 or 43-21 at the end of that stretch.
We should then go 8-4 over the following 12 games, which would put us at 52-24 or 51-25.
The last 6 games of the season are tough, and we could lose 2 or 3 of them. So that would put us in the 54 - 56-win range.
We absolutely want the Clippers and Rockets to end up in the 4/5 matchup, so that the Clippers, Lakers and Rockets are in the other draw.
Whether we get the 2 seed or 3 seed matters less. I think we'll beat Denver in a series either way 4 - 2. We just need some time to prep for them. It's all about slowing Jokic and Murray and getting our share of rebounds.
NAOS
Well-Known Member
The clippers have a very favorable schedule. I don’t see them sliding to 4. Even my homer says Nah to that.
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DasJazz
Well-Known Member
Better get your homer in check bruh!
Well, Paul George is out again with the hammy. I guess we'll see. They lost 3 of their last 4, including getting blown out by the T'wolves.
The Jazz need to match them win for win from here.
538's ELO model projects the Western Conf. will finish:
1 Lakers (61-21)
2 Nuggets (55-27)
3 Jazz (54-28)
4 Clippers (53-29)
5 Rockets (51-31)
6 Thunder (49-33)
7 Mavericks (48-34)
8 Grizzlies (41-41)
This would mean the Jazz finish 18-10. I definitely think we can do a game or two better than that.
1 Lakers (61-21)
2 Nuggets (55-27)
3 Jazz (54-28)
4 Clippers (53-29)
5 Rockets (51-31)
6 Thunder (49-33)
7 Mavericks (48-34)
8 Grizzlies (41-41)
This would mean the Jazz finish 18-10. I definitely think we can do a game or two better than that.
Handlogten's Heros
Well-Known Member
2019 Award Winner
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We should be concerned... we are a good regular season team... have struggled against top competition... and this from Schumann... against the top offenses we are 17th in the league.
Most of the good playoff teams ratchet up a notch or 5... we have not. I just don't feel like we are a contender... second round playoff team right now. Fix the bench issues and we are a potential western conference finalist if the matchups and luck falls our way.
Can you point me to anything that says that Chinese league players have been released from their contracts and are eligible to be signed? I can't find anything.
Buy him out. Violate international law. Hire hit men. Get Udoh a fake birth certificate and call him Timmy O’Toole. Have him dress up like TB and wear his jersey. Any of those are fine and would get a tip of the hat for being aggressive.
So you're going for entertainment effect with your sense of urgency on this, rather than reality?
3 of the top 13 offenses belong to teams who aren't going to be in the playoffs. Also, 13 is kind of a weird number to use. Almost like he was going for a desired result with the numbers.
Defense is definitely our concern though. Our success/failure at getting stops is going to determine how far we go because our offense is legit one of the best in the NBA. At the start of the season our defense didn't look like it had lost much of a step. We were in the 105-107 DRtg range. Recently we've been in the 110-112 range. Not sure what happened but the focus and execution hasn't been there. In reality I think our defense is probably more of a 107 DRtg defense. But we need to lock back in on that end.
vegas
Well-Known Member
I need to see this revised for when the teams are at full strength. Clearly we're screwed when they run out the 7 man B team.
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