I think he's trying to expand his game a bit and is taking some additional contested threes. I think guys are staying closer too... so he might feel he has to force a couple up to keep his high volume. Catch and shoot 3s he is at 38% and was 40% last year. Really a small, small difference. I think he should limit his looks just a hair tbh. Play a little more within himself.
I also think bench players are also going to have more variance. They may have a few games where they get 12 minutes and go 0-2 and just aren't in the flow of the game at any point. They don't get the chance to right the ship.
This is why you have to drop the outlier. Again I ask, what is more indicative of his performance, the 7/7 or the multiple 1/X games this year? Is it more reasonable to expect his next game to be 2/7 or 7/7?
Agreed
I didn't say we should exclude it but I think log was simply saying that niang wasn't shooting very good from three this season prior to last night.
right but guys have games where they go 6/7 or 7/9... its all factored in and rightfully so imo.
I just watch him play and see the shots he takes (often rushed and with a very close defender) and I think he will get more minutes against better opponents (non garbage time) this season and he will be on people's radar more and be gameplanned against more.
Nobody's arguing that we can expect him to shoot 100% on high volume next game, or in any future game for that matter. Just because he's extremely unlikely to shoot 100% in a given night does not mean that last night's impact on his overall shooting % for the season should just be ignored.
Well you are discounting consistency, which matters in a shooter. I would argue if the 36% were more consistent game to game it would mean he is a more reliable shooter than having a string of 1/X followed by a flukey 7/7.
I don't disagree with the value of consistency, but from January 6th onwards, Niang has shot above 40% from 3 in roughly half of his games. This isn't a case of a shooter having one great game way above his average while the vast majority of them fall below his average.
With a bench guy I'd almost rather have them be hot or cold assuming the percentages are the same.
Eh, I think Log's point is that you don't want a guy going 7/7 one game and then 1/5 the next six, which is true. I just don't think that's an issue with Niang this season.
Well it is arguable whether having your 9th guy shoot like that is a big deal or not, and probably not, but that's exactly how niang has been this year. Lots of 1-fers and then a few 7-7, 4-6 to round it out.
I get that... that's a bit extreme. Basically Niang is getting three 3s a night. If he's a 33% shooter I'd rather have him go 3/3 in one game and 0/3 in the others than just 1/3 in all games. My theory is those guys don't lose you games but they can win you games.... it has no basis whatsoever... just a feeling in my balls.
If you wear his jersey and say "Niang, Niang, Niang" three times while looking into a mirror the Kool-Aid Man drives a minivan through your wall.
