He has about 20 million in career earnings. His next contract would double that in 3 years if he took what you are saying is there.Its a risk... he'd at least find a minimum deal somewhere if something catastrophic happened. He'd be betting $30M but the upside is like a 4/$100M deal imo. I just think if 3/40 is all they will offer that a trade offer of like JC and the philly first or one of the protected firsts we get in the NY deal would likely get it done and land him something like 4/80M-ish.
It really depends on his life situation... off the court money (likely not a lot), etc. I would not blame him for taking the security for sure.
I think it's just smart to secure that early career payday and get the ball moving towards the next contract. There's a reason almost no one takes the QO. I can't even remember the last guy who was seen as being a starter who took it. Maybe Greg Monroe. It worked out well for him, but Detroit also continued to play him just as much as they were prior. Sexton is almost guaranteed to be looking at a smaller role with less minutes.