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2023 NBA Draft Megathread

Does anyone remember some years back when there was an argument going around that for draft prospects it's better to prioritize the players who can produce high quality individual performances rather than prioritizing consistency? Or am I just making this recollection up in my mind? I can't easily find it anywhere online now.




Maybe this would be a good time to announce that I'm really liking what I've seen from Jalen Hood-Schifino?
Yes, it's the idea that the peak performances are the best indicator for potential.
 
Does anyone remember some years back when there was an argument going around that for draft prospects it's better to prioritize the players who can produce high quality individual performances rather than prioritizing consistency? Or am I just making this recollection up in my mind? I can't easily find it anywhere online now.




Maybe this would be a good time to announce that I'm really liking what I've seen from Jalen Hood-Schifino?

I watched a bunch of him today, his high’s are really high and generally he does more good things than bad things. What’s still troubling for me is what you don’t see, and that’s any presence at the rim at all. His good games are a result of super hot shooting, and while that’s impressive on its own, it’s a tough way to make a living in the NBA. I could see a version of him that turns these mid range pull ups into 3 point pullups….but it is incredibly difficult to be efficient in the NBA without the ability to get the basket or free throw line. I also think his horrendous rim finishing is reflective of poor athletic ability.

It makes me think if CJ McCollum. Great scorer in the NBA obviously and he does not get to the rim or FT line a ton…but he is super elite at the shot he takes. It requires elite shot making for someone with his shot profile to be close to league average in efficiency. If CJ wasn’t elite at shot making he wouldn’t have much of a career and that’s what worries me about JHS. For his game to work, he has to be exceptionally good at it.

If we’re going to go for this type of prospect, I prefer George. His FTr was double JHS’s, percentage at the rim was much higher, already has extended his shooting out to 3, and he also has the stocks advantage which has l always been a big indicator.

I also have to say, if we’re going to ignore the numbers and focus in on the best performances Nick Smith is fairly impressive. He’s super quick and can get off any kind of shot you want. His off ball movement reminds me of Booker a little bit. Lots of energy and zip. He will never be my type of prospect because the results do matter, but he is impressive under this kind of light.
 
The GG age thing is the most circular conversation ever because it essentially gives him an excuse to suck as bad as possible. You mention how he sucked, a GG fan will just excuse all of it because he's young. It's impossible to even discuss him because his age is used like this ultimate trump card to fend off any question or concern about him. This is how we get to the point where we talk about removing pro days from evaluation because it's too difficult. Then we go down further and say that DX has a conspiracy out against him while simultaneously using DX's own footage to show that the report about his pro day is wrong.

Emoni was younger than GG last season, didn't give him a free license for being terrible. He transferred to a low level of competition, and what happened was very predictable. He did get better (arguably) but didn't make the gigantic improve just to get on par with other first round draft picks. At #28, who cares, take a pop shot. But if GG were to come back to school the amount of development it would take to get on par with the prospects in the middle of the first is crazy. But hey, Kobe Bufkin exists too. Surely if he can do it GG can do it too. Yeah....I'll take the guy that already made the tremendous, unlikely improvement instead of the guy who needs that same extraordinary just to get on par.
 
I think we're probably underestimating Dariq Whitehead. He measured out at 6'6", 218 lbs with a 6'10" wingpan. He settles for jumpers too much for my liking, but outside the top 10, he has a lot of value. Sizewise, he's comparable to Gradey. Hopefully, his foot heals well. He's got a lot of scoring talent.
 
Whitehead is 4.5 months older than GG, was also a number one prospect, played through injury, and didn't totally suck. If the foot is good and that's what was responsible for his terrible play around the basket he's a steal.
 
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