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2023 NBA Draft Megathread

Kind of an interesting thought though, if you had to pick 4 of the top ten that end up as below league average players, who would you pick?

I think the most likely would be Thompson Twins, Walker, and Black. The reasoning for all of them is shooting. If you can't shoot and you aren't a center, you are very likely a below league average player.

I haven't thought too hard about this, so I could be swayed. I do recognize that shooting is one of the more likely weaknesses to be improved on.
I'm less inclined to take someone who can't shoot, simply because of the point you noted. That said, they can develop (Lonzo and Horford, etc.), but it can take years to do.
 
Contract price vs the opportunity cost of drafting a better player
Well Collins wouldn't be free either.

I do continue to be apprehensive about Hendricks though. "Bad feel for the game" is not a weakness that I can just brush aside. I think people are way too bullish on his low end outcome, he might just be bad in the league. But his profile and stats are pretty great, and if the top 8 goes how we expect and he is sitting there, he still just seems like an obvious pick. I think I have him at #9 at this point though, and would prefer Black over him. And kind of hoping someone just takes the decision out of our hands before we pick.
 
Well Collins wouldn't be free either.

I do continue to be apprehensive about Hendricks though. "Bad feel for the game" is not a weakness that I can just brush aside. I think people are way too bullish on his low end outcome, he might just be bad in the league. But his profile and stats are pretty great, and if the top 8 goes how we expect and he is sitting there, he still just seems like an obvious pick. I think I have him at #9 at this point though, and would prefer Black over him. And kind of hoping someone just takes the decision out of our hands before we pick.
The narrative was that Atlanta might be willing to pay to get off JC, so yes, he might be basically free.
 
Well Collins wouldn't be free either.

I do continue to be apprehensive about Hendricks though. "Bad feel for the game" is not a weakness that I can just brush aside. I think people are way too bullish on his low end outcome, he might just be bad in the league. But his profile and stats are pretty great, and if the top 8 goes how we expect and he is sitting there, he still just seems like an obvious pick. I think I have him at #9 at this point though, and would prefer Black over him. And kind of hoping someone just takes the decision out of our hands before we pick.
How does his bad feel for the game manifest? Cuz the scouting report on him is he makes really good rotations and good defensive reads. He may have a limited offensive ceiling. He may never self create. And even with that he may still be a high level starter. Cy acting like he’s horrible is absolutely a sign we should draft the **** out of him.
 
The narrative was that Atlanta might be willing to pay to get off JC, so yes, he might be basically free.
If he's free, I don't hate it.


How does his bad feel for the game manifest? Cuz the scouting report on him is he makes really good rotations and good defensive reads. He may have a limited offensive ceiling. He may never self create. And even with that he may still be a high level starter. Cy acting like he’s horrible is absolutely a sign we should draft the **** out of him.
I have no idea, I don't think I've ever even seen the dude on a basketball court, my opinions are always just second hand after reading other peoples thoughts and analysis. Which is why I'll talk myself into anyone pretty much no matter what. I don't follow the Cy thing. Is there a long track record of him not liking dudes and then they turn out amazing? All I know is that he has a pretty good track record advocating for some lower end prospects who end up pretty good.
 
Luckily the Jazz have so many assets and opportunities, if they make a catastrophic mistake, like drafting Hendricks over JHS, they can still recover.
 
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