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2024 NBA Draft Mega Thread

KqWIN said:
Again, I considered more scenarios. But go off. And like I said…at the end of the day it’s about expected value. So if you’re willing to take a worse expected value for more safety, that’s a personal decision.

BTW, I wish you would have left up your post where you declare that you owned me in an argument. It’s one of the funniest things on the forum.
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lol you said the the Lakers 1-4 doesn’t matter anymore to us than anyone else because we own 5-30. That’s flat wrong and you did get destroyed by me. You say you’re some numbers guy but that’s not apparent here.
 
I love nothing more than bashing @KqWIN’s head in. So enjoyable dude is so smug too.

Someone please explain to me how 1-4 is the same value to another team when they would lose the pick if it ended up 5-30.
 
Elizah Huge said:
lol you said the the Lakers 1-4 doesn’t matter anymore to us than anyone else because we own 5-30. That’s flat wrong and you did get destroyed by me. You say you’re some numbers guy but that’s not apparent here.
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Whatever makes you happy man.
 
KqWIN said:
I’ve already said it. I don’t think the hedge matters much. I what matters is the expected value. The chances of Lakers top 4 is the same no matter who owns the rest of the outcomes and that’s why I say it is the same.
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Yeah this isn't explaining how a perfectly good analogy is something you very much disagree with. This is the equivalent of "because I said so".
KqWIN said:
I suppose that in a specific situation teams may want to be more risk adverse and that may change….but generally I would say teams would prefer getting the most value. Different teams will be more or less risk adverse depending on the situation, so I’m open to a disagreement there. I just don’t think I would eat value and pay more for a top 4 because I own 5-30.
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Lets say the Lakers would do 32 to make the pick unprotected. You are saying if you were a team you'd rather have the protected pick and #32 than the unprotected pick? If that's so then fine. I think many teams would see it differently. I would "eat value" to protect the more important asset from having an unlikely but catastrophic failure... and there are so many applications from the real world where this happens. To think its not necessarily a thought or a conversation that would ever come up is wrong sorry.
 
Elizah Huge said:
Feels like Salaun could be this years Bilal. Meteoric rise into the top-10.
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He might already be there for some teams. This is the draft to swing on 18 y.o., athletic prospects with standout measurables. Actually, every draft is the draft to do that, but this one in particular doesn't have many compelling alternatives.
 
Ferguson_Mellochill said:
He might already be there for some teams. This is the draft to swing on 18 y.o., athletic prospects with standout measurables. Actually, every draft is the draft to do that, but this one in particular doesn't have many compelling alternatives.
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He’s been on the radar for awhile now right? Feels like Dadiet may be the late riser in this draft.
 
KqWIN said:
I think 29/32 is the right range to take this kind of risk. I was very skeptical but he looked pretty good in scrimmages.
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He looks like he could be a Costco Kirkland brand version of Zach Lavine. (Some of the Kirkland products aren't bad, actually.)
 
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