Game Thread NBA Draft Lottery - May 12, 2025

[Coach Ellis]

Since they flattened the odds

2019
Worst team - NYK fell to 3rd overall
7th worst New Orleans moved up to #1

2020
Worst team - Golden State fell to 2nd overall
3rd worst Minnesota moved up to #1

2021
Worst team - Houston fell to 2nd overall
2nd worst Detroit moved up to #1

2022
Worst team - Houston fell to 3rd overall
2nd worst Orlando moved up to #1

2023
Worst team - Detroit fell to 5th overall
3rd worst San Antonio moved up to #1

2024
Worst team - Detroit fell to 5th overall
10th worst Atlanta moved up to #1

 

[infection]

Nobody with worse odds than Brooklyn will win the lottery

I see. I thought you were saying that we’d win it through them.

 

[The Jazz Wonderbra]

There sure are a lot of glass half empty farts out there...

 

[Ferguson_Mellochill]

View: https://x.com/975Hans/status/1920553257103155304

 

[jazznik]

This thread has the most inane and meaningless posts. Because in reality there is nothing to talk about before the lottery day.

 

[NUMBERICA]

This thread has the most inane and meaningless posts. Because in reality there is nothing to talk about before the lottery day.

Case in point.

 

[FalseFlagg K]

Since they flattened the odds

2019
Worst team - NYK fell to 3rd overall
7th worst New Orleans moved up to #1

2020
Worst team - Golden State fell to 2nd overall
3rd worst Minnesota moved up to #1

2021
Worst team - Houston fell to 2nd overall
2nd worst Detroit moved up to #1

2022
Worst team - Houston fell to 3rd overall
2nd worst Orlando moved up to #1

2023
Worst team - Detroit fell to 5th overall
3rd worst San Antonio moved up to #1

2024
Worst team - Detroit fell to 5th overall
10th worst Atlanta moved up to #1

So all you're saying is that the law of averages is overwhelmingly on our side

 

[FalseFlagg K]

I am ****ing anxious about this.

all good mate. I'm gonna sacrifice a few kangaroos over the weekend. And also Kylie MInogue but that's no great loss

 

[stormkoopacv03]

Utah stays at #1, book it! An american first pope in history, now Jazz's first number 1 pick in history.

 

[infection]

So all you're saying is that the law of averages is overwhelmingly on our side

 

[HermanG]

The odds favor us ending up with the 5th pick. It seems, even looking more at past drafts, that the teams in the 4th-8th spots have better chances of ending up in #1 or #2. One of them, as a group, has a better chance at it than we do, frankly. So it seems they have managed to break the lottery down so that tanking does not guarantee anything.

Well 4-8 covers 5 teams. Collectively they got 45.5% chance for #1, which is more than 3x the chance we have at landing there.

But you cant finish the season covering all the positions from 4 to 8, can you? Fact is we are in THE BEST position to draft high. Period. Doesnt mean its likely we will draft in the top 2 (its more like 1/4 years when that happens).

 

[HermanG]

Since they flattened the odds

2019
Worst team - NYK fell to 3rd overall
7th worst New Orleans moved up to #1

2020
Worst team - Golden State fell to 2nd overall
3rd worst Minnesota moved up to #1

2021
Worst team - Houston fell to 2nd overall
2nd worst Detroit moved up to #1

2022
Worst team - Houston fell to 3rd overall
2nd worst Orlando moved up to #1

2023
Worst team - Detroit fell to 5th overall
3rd worst San Antonio moved up to #1

2024
Worst team - Detroit fell to 5th overall
10th worst Atlanta moved up to #1

History does not matter at all for this years draw. Thats gamblers fallacy.