First Round Bust Predictions

[Ferguson_Mellochill]

Noel will be a 6'11" 230 lb. defensive stalwart. I think his worst case is Larry Sanders. Not bad.

 

[Thee Jazz Fan]

All pg's in the first round not named CJ McCollum.

 

[Ferguson_Mellochill]

I think Burke will be fine. Not a top-8 PG, but he'll be fine. Carter-Williams could do well on an open-court, run-and-gun team.

 

[The Midnight]

All pg's in the first round not named CJ McCollum.

Hi Debbie.. long time no see.

 

[infection]

If you're looking for bust in the first round you'd have to go Griner, no?

 

[Ferguson_Mellochill]

If you're looking for bust in the first round you'd have to go Griner, no?

True, but for most people, that's a reach.


zing

 

[franklin]

True, but for Mark Cuban, that might be a reach around.


zing

Fixed.

 

[Tony]

Cj mccollum!!!!!!!!!

 

[Darkwing Duck]

What, 2/3rds of draft picks in the first round make it to no better than a bench player, and a good chunk of them are lottery picks. So defining bust is difficult.

Is Aminu a bust since he was picked at #8 and produces what he does?

But anyway, some predictions:

One of McLemore, Porter, and Olapido will bust. One other will bust relative to his draft position (like an Aminu).

I will be surprised if Adams, Plumlee, Withey, or Olynyk make it to Jason Smith level of ability. Olynyk will if he adopts a Luis Scola, or maybe a David West kind of game and is successful at it.

Len will put up some numbers but flame out.

 

[Ferguson_Mellochill]

I like Adams a lot and think he'll come out between Andrew Bogut and Andrew Bynum. He's young, but give him 3 years and he'll be a handfull.

Zeller could bust a bit because he's not especially fast or skilled handling the ball. He looks like he needs to be set up, but maybe I'm wrong here. He'll be a good player in a limited number of situations.

I think Olynyk will be fine. He does a lot for a 7' guy. If he were 6'9" then maybe he'd have some issues, but he should be a solid player from the elbow. He'll be able to shoot jumpers from there, or get to the rim with one dribble. Plus he can pass. Worst case, he's a bigger version of Troy Murphy.

 

[Darkwing Duck]

Man, I'm looking at the 2006 draft, and there's definitely some comparisons to make. Let's go through the list.

Bargnani-Bust in relation to draft position.
Aldridge-Not a bust
Morrison-Complete bust
Tyrus Thomas-Bust
Shelden Williams-Complete bust
Roy-Not a bust
Foye-Close, but I'll say slight bust in relation to draft position (#7)
Gay-Not a bust
O'Bryant-Complete bust
Sene-Complete bust
Redick-Not a bust
Armstrong-Complete bust
Sefolosha-Probably not a bust considering pick #13
Brewer-Flameout after a few good years (system guy)
Simmons-Complete bust
Carney-Complete bust
Shawne Williams-Complete bust
Pecherov-Complete Bust
Douby-Complete Bust
Balkman-Bust
Rondo-Bust (just seeing if PKM is paying attention)
Marcus Williams-Bust
Boone-Complete bust
Lowry-Not a bust
Brown-Not a bust due to draft position (25)
Farmar-Not a bust due to draft position (26)
Rodriguez-Bust as an international

Only other notables are Novak, Daniel Gibson, and Millsap.

Is Len Shelden Williams?

Is McCollum Randy Foye?

Is Bennett Tyrus Thomas?

 

[Dr. Jones]

Haha.. yeah, I read it.